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2022-03-31-accounts

THE NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH (Incorporated) (A company limited by guarantee)

Report and Financial Statements Registered company number: 341010 Charity number: 306083 31 March 2022

Contents

Reference and administrative information 1
Trustees’ annual report 2
Trustees’ responsibilities 17
Independent auditor's report 18
Statement of financial activities 22
Balance sheet 23
Statement of cash flows 24
Notes to the Financial Statements 25

Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

REFERENCE AND ADMINISTRATIVE INFORMATION

Trustees (Members of the Council of Management

Professor Nicholas Crafts (Chair) Sir Paul Tucker (President) Tera Allas (resigned AGM, 9 December 2021) Alexander Baker Jenny Bates Professor Phillip Brown Professor Jagjit Chadha (Director) Neil Gaskell Sir David Greenaway Stephen King Keith Mackrell Neville Manuel Professor Jill Rubery Romesh Vaitilingam

Chief Executive/ Director

Professor Jagjit Chadha (OBE)

Registered Office & Principal Place of Business

2 Dean Trench Street, Smith Square, London, SW1P 3HE

Company Number: 341010 – incorporated in the United Kingdom

Charity Number : 306083 – registered in England and Wales

Auditor

Sayer Vincent LLP, Invicta House, 108-114 Golden Lane, London, EC1Y 0TL

Bankers

Bank of Scotland, 600 Gorgie Road, Edinburgh, EH11 3XP

Solicitors

Pannone & Partners, 123 Deansgate, Manchester, M3 2BU

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022 TRUSTEES’ REPORT

The Trustees, who are also directors of the Charity, are pleased to present their annual Trustees’ report together with the financial statements of the charity for the year ended 31 March 2022, which are also prepared to meet the requirements for a Directors’ report and accounts for Companies Act purposes.

The financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the Charities Act 2011, the Companies Act 2006, the Memorandum and Articles of Association, and Accounting and Reporting by Charities: Statement of Recommended Practice applicable to charities preparing their accounts in accordance with the Financial Reporting Standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland (FRS 102).

OBJECT AND ACTIVITIES

The principal object contained within the National Institute of Economic and Social Research’s (“the Institute”) Memorandum and Articles of Association is:

‘The advancement of education in the social sciences particularly by the propagation of knowledge of the social and economic conditions of contemporary human society’ .

We carry out high quality economic and social research of relevance to policymakers and business, meeting this object via four main activities:

The Institute carries out these activities by:

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

PUBLIC BENEFIT

The Trustees confirm that they have referred to the Charity Commission’s guidance on public benefit when reviewing the Institute’s aims and objectives and when planning future activities.

The activities described above enable the Institute to improve the wider knowledge and understanding of issues which are of importance to the UK and internationally, with the aim of improving social and economic welfare. This was the purpose of the Institute’s foundation over eighty years ago and remains central to its ethos today.

To serve the public benefit, we maintain a high reputation for the independence and quality of our research, and invest in several outreach activities, including working with other organisations in the charitable and educational sectors. 2021-22 was our third full year of funding through the Impact acceleration Account scheme of the Economic and Social Research Council. NIESR is one of only two institutions outside the university sector to receive such recognition. We have sought to bring our work to new, non-academic audience, including the establishment of a new Business Conditions Forum, the development of a new, extensive Economic Outlook publication for the UK. Further details of our communication and impact activities can be found in the overview of the year below.

This year we have continued to develop University Partnerships with the Universities of Glasgow and Cardiff focussing on matching our ability to provide impact for research to the resources for world class research embedded within university structures. Our sectoral (dynamic sectoral model) and household level (LINDA) models accompany a suite of trackers examining developments in the UK and global economy. Indeed, the Institute has embarked on a project to develop a regional set of models, ‘NiREMs’, that will allow us to assess the progress of the country towards the ‘levelling up’ agenda.

The Institute’s global econometric model is licensed annually to many European Central Banks and international organisations. The model’s use within these organisations helps to

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

widen the influence of the Institute’s research and enables our expertise to influence policy decisions for the public benefit not only in the UK but worldwide. We also provide extensive training on forecasting methods, facilitating extensive specialist knowledge transfer. The new Global Economic Outlook is specifically aimed at developing our reputation for global economic analysis.

FUNDRAISING

NIESR has not hitherto engaged in public fundraising and does not use professional fundraisers or commercial participators. During the year there were no complaints relating to fundraising practice.

ACHIEVEMENTS & PERFORMANCE

Overview

In 2021-2022, NIESR continued to operate at the forefront of applied policy research; helping to shape the policy agenda and provide accurate, authoritative analysis of economic and social developments in the UK and abroad. A highlight of the financial year was the awarding of the Officer of the Order of the British Empire (OBE), in recognition of his services to economics and economic policy, to our Director, Jagjit S. Chadha in the Queen’s Birthday Honours. In addition, our Deputy Director, Adrian Pabst, was elected as a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences (FAcSS).

Stakeholder Engagement

With a growing need, due to the pandemic and changing use of technology, to have a modern, dynamic digital presence, the financial year 2021-22 saw us invest in a new website and integrated CRM system. Both systems have had a transformational effect on the way the institute engages with its key audiences and generates policy impact with its research findings. Core to these projects was the need to integrate the different platforms that are used in the management of NiGEM subscribers, our corporate members, governors, and research fellows to build a ‘single source of truth’, as well as ensure that the relevant research and publications can be easily located and disseminated. Our CRM platform launched in June 2021 and the new website, after just under six months of development, launched in December 2021.

Our profile across social media continued to grow, with Twitter being by far our most popular channel. Over the financial year we added 1,259 followers on Twitter and 2,000 on LinkedIn (a 9% increase on Twitter and a 27% increase on LinkedIn). Engagement rates continue to be above average across both platforms.

Utilising funding from the Impact Acceleration Account (IAA) grant, we continued to provide a platform for economists from organisations covering a cross-section of the business community to meet and discuss some key issues. Taking place online, the quarterly Business Conditions Forum covered topics ranging from trade through to climate change, the levelling-up agenda, and the post-Covid-19 recovery plan. It is our intention to develop these opportunities in the coming financial year through a separate forum focused on our public policy research.

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

We also continued to build links with our academic colleagues by signing one further university partnership agreement with Cardiff University, as well as our sister research organisation – The Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) in Ireland. These two agreements complement our existing agreement with the University of Glasgow, which was signed the previous financial year and involve the development of regional models for Wales and Northern Ireland respectively, as well as internships and possible shared research. Work is ongoing on all these projects, with initial findings shared through the publication of our quarterly UK Economic Outlook.

These quarterly economic outlooks, which, rather than being integrated into the National Institute Economic Review (NIER), were launched as standalone publications have provided us with the opportunity to gain significant traction amongst policymakers and senior government officials. During this financial year researchers have presented the key findings of these documents to representatives of the FCDO, BEIS and HM Treasury, as well as the Shadow Chancellor’s office, the Scottish government, the OECD, IMF, OBR. They also used the insights gained to inform the three evidence sessions for the Treasury Select Committee.

Press and Media Relations

Our analysis and commentary on current economic and social issues continued to receive high profile coverage across all major print and broadcast outlets. Notable highlights include the publication of our occasional paper into fiscal frameworks, the launch of the Productivity Commission and the release of the Levelling Up white paper.

With the creation of standalone quarterly economic forecasts, considerable work has taken place this year to ensure that their release becomes firmly embedded in the media calendar. We have, with this, enjoyed considerable success with their findings receiving significant attention and high levels of reach across both national and international print and broadcast media.

Strategically, we have had some success by focusing on providing opinion pieces and longformat articles to expand our position on key topics. This has resulted in pieces being published across both mainstream and specialist media, including Prospect Magazine; The Spectator; Central Banking; The Financial Times; The Times; The Guardian; The Independent, Schools Week and Times Educational Supplement (TES).

Events

Our events calendar continued to be mainly online, in part due to the continued uncertainty regarding the pandemic and the ongoing works at 2 Dean Trench Street. Whilst limiting the physical interactions we have been able to have, it has, however, enabled us to reach a broader audience than previously with registrations and attendances at events well above pre-pandemic levels. How we continue to build on this as we transition back to a more officebased environment and hybrid working will be one of the priorities for the next financial year.

Some highlights from this year’s events calendar include:

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

We held several joint events this year to disseminate the findings of our research and build our network and reach. In September, together with BIT, Demos, the IES and Centre for Aging Better, we hosted an event to explore older workers’ experiences of the recruitment process. In October and November, we ran two events with Grant Thornton on carbon taxation and re-opening the economy after lockdown, and in March – together with the MMF – we hosted an all-day conference to mark the 25th anniversary of operational independence and the formation of the Monetary Policy Committee. This included a keynote speech by Ben Broadbent, as well as several individual contributions by both former, and current MPC members.

Priorities for 2022/2023

We seek to influence the emergent policy agenda and provide independent examination of social and economic policies in the UK and beyond. Our objective is to deepen the public understanding of the economic and social issues that affect their lives, helping to shape the policy agenda with our findings.

In line with this, our principal aims for communication and stakeholder engagement in the next financial year are to:

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

Macroeconomics

The Macroeconomic Modelling and Forecasting Directorate is now led by its Deputy Director, Professor Stephen Millard (February 2022), who replaced Paul Mortimer-Lee, who was overseeing the Directorate following the resignation of Hande Küçük (September 2021). The Directorate undertakes three main activities:

  1. Model Development

  2. Forecasting and Nowcasting

  3. Macroeconomic Research

In the National Institute Global Econometric Model (NiGEM) it maintains one of the world’s leading tools for economic modelling. NiGEM continues to be widely licenced, and is used by Finance Ministries, central banks, and corporates on five continents. Our Quarterly UK and Global Economic Outlooks – containing our quarterly forecasts – are widely read and cited in the media. And our research is published in NIESR Discussion, Occasional and Policy Papers as well as high-quality economic journals.

NiGEM

NiGEM continues to be the macro model of choice for institutions all over the world and remains of interest to new potential subscribers. We have been particularly successful in winning projects based on our climate change modelling work using NiGEM. Key to this success is the integral part it plays in the development of alternative climate scenarios by the Network for Greening the Financial.

System (NGFS), with many financial institutions within the NGFS making use of NiGEM for their own climate modelling. Our own work using NiGEM to examine the impact of carbon taxes was published in a special issue of the NIER on the ‘Macroeconomics of Climate Change’.

Forecasting and Nowcasting

We remain committed to producing our flagship quarterly forecasts for both the UK and the global economies, together with commentary exploring our views on their current state, how we see them evolving, and the implications for monetary and fiscal policy. Each quarter, these Outlooks are disseminated to the media, economists and wider public. We also produce monthly ‘trackers’ for GDP, wage inflation and CPI inflation, a quarterly term premium tracker and, until February, a Covid-19 tracker. These trackers involve nowcasting the relevant variables and, in the case of GDP and wage inflation, providing short-term forecasts. We see the area of nowcasting as being one we can further develop moving forward with the goal being a ‘one-stop-shop’ for nowcasts of a broader set of key macroeconomic variables and NIESR analysis of current macroeconomic conditions.

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022 Research

Over the year we have carried out research projects in various areas, publishing our results in both academic and policy outlets and ensuring that the results are disseminated in such a way as to maximise our impact on policy. Highlights were the work on the ‘Health and Social Care Levy’ announced in September 2021 (published as a NIESR Policy Paper on ‘The New Employment Tax’) and the work on the ‘Economic Costs of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict’ (published as a NIESR Policy Paper), which was launched at an event in NIESR in March 2022 and was widely picked up by the media. In addition, we have carried out research over the year under the auspices of the Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) and The Productivity Institute (TPI) as well as contributing to the Productivity Commission via Stephen Millard’s role as one of the Commissioners.

Policy outreach

A large element of our work involves communicating with policy makers and inviting them to our events, as well as attending and contributing towards their events. Ahead of the October 2021 and March 2022 Economic and Fiscal Outlooks, we participated in Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) Roundtable Discussions and responded to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s (OECD) questionnaire to inform their UK economic outlook. We also met with the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Article IV team ahead of their visit to the UK. Core to our wider mission is the production of timely responses to UK fiscal events. Following both the 27 October Budget and the 23 March Spring Statement, we published carefully considered and comprehensive review of the major announcements, including an opinion on how they would impact households and sectors. Relatedly, Stephen Millard gave evidence to the Treasury Select Committee at their examination of the level of the current UK tax burden on 29 February.

Priorities for 2022-23

In line with NIESR’s overall strategy, our priorities for the coming year are:

Public Policy

The Public Policy team led by its Deputy Director, Professor Adrian Pabst, focuses on four research and policy areas:

  1. Regional and household-level analysis

  2. Education and skills

  3. Productivity and trade

  4. Public understanding of economics

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

Drawing on NiGEM, the team is deploying NIESR’s household model LINDA (Lifetime Income Distributional Analysis) and the regional model NiREMs to understand the nature of the cost-of-living crisis and of deepening disparities between and within the UK’s regions. Our analysis of this area within a dedicated chapter of the quarterly UK Economic Outlook, has had significant traction in the national and international media and shaped the policy debate on support measures for the poorest and for household that struggle to make ends meet.

Our researchers have engaged in policy outreach and possess a proven track record of winning tenders and research bids. They publish articles widely in top-ranked social science journals as well as research monographs – including one published by Routledge in April 2022 and two signed book contracts (with Cambridge University Press (CUP) and with Palgrave Macmillan).

Regional and household-level analysis

Our work has tracked how the devolved nations of Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland, as well as the English regions, are evolving in terms of economic output, productivity, employment, and inactivity. Among the key findings are growing gaps not only between regions but also within them (e.g., pockets of deprivation in London and the Southeast) and specific features of the Scottish economy (employment bounce after COP-26), the Welsh economy (high and rising levels of inactivity) and the Northern Irish economy (the benefits of the NI Protocol).

We have analysed the conditions of households across the income distribution, highlighting the increase in poverty and destitution resulting from Covid and then the cost-of-living crisis. What we have found is that the poorest 5 million required targeted assistance such as an uplift of Universal Credit of £20 during the pandemic and the lower income households that struggle to make ends meet and must choose between eating and heating. This work has drawn on, and developed, our household-level model LINDA, which was also used for projects on wealth taxation and progressive consumption taxes, as well as projects on the costs and benefits of gambling.

Education and skills

Our research has examined the continuous impact of Covid-19 on the educational sector from early years provision through primary and secondary schools to university and vocational training. The adverse consequences of lockdowns on early years settings and on schools encompass scarring effects for children and pupils (both in terms of their formal learning outcomes and their socioemotional development) and for the productivity of teachers and parents who had to home-school. One of the key findings was that, in the absence of further catch-up measures, lifetime earning losses would range between £8,000 and £22,000.

The other focus of our work has been on evaluating school programmes, including specific support measures for working parents and Designated Safeguarding Leads in schools, which have involved conducting hundreds of interviews with teachers in schools and social workers. This evaluative work is shaping policy debates at level of central government, local authorities, and individual educational establishments.

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022 Productivity and trade

As a core partner of TPI, our research on productivity has focused on two dimensions: one is on geography and place and the other is on governance and the institutions. Whilst the former has examined FDI and regional aspects, with a paper by two Public Policy researchers quoted in the Levelling Up White Paper which was published on 2 February 2022, the latter has explored institutional and policy churn and alternative arrangements to the UK’s centralised system of economic and political governance. We have analysed how the politics and policies of productivity contribute to the poor productivity performance and which policy and institutional changes are required to improve the UK’s situation: reducing the gaps in the local/regional markets, the skills base, and the ecology of institutions at national, regional and local levels.

Moreover, we have conducted research collecting and analysing evidence about the causes and consequences of the UK’s flatlining productivity growth since the financial crash in 2007 as part of the Productivity Commission and Adrian Pabst’s role as one of the Commissioners, for example the stark finding that if productivity had continued to grow at two per cent per year in the last decade, it would have meant an extra £5,000 per worker per year on average.

Public understanding of economics

We have continued to explore how the public engage with economic statistics and how economists can improve the public understanding of economics, including ESCoE-funded work together with colleagues at the Bank of England and others involving qualitative research on data such as GDP growth. Other work has focused on inflation and the cost-ofliving crisis, which encompasses videos filmed with Finance Unlocked to reach new audiences, as well as IAA-supported print, broadcast, and online media.

Priorities for 2022-23

Improve policymaker, expert and public understanding of the main factors driving the UK and world economies by producing reports for government departments and on topical issues such as gambling reform, together with our school’s evaluation work and projects with the Low Pay Commission. The team also makes a significant contribution to our quarterly UK Economic Outlook, with the dedicated chapter on household analysis getting substantial traction in the media and among policymakers.

Become a centre of modelling excellence by developing our suite of models, together with our forecasting and nowcasting capabilities, to assess and shape policymaking. We will continue to work with colleagues on the development and integration of three models (LINDA, NiREMs and NiSEM) to assist in our modelling of inter-regional and inter-sectoral spill overs, as well as understand how changes in household finances affect consumption and growth in different parts of the country.

Actively engage with all our stakeholders and raise awareness of our research work through the dissemination of the findings with the objective of influencing policy.

The Institute is working towards a revised strategy that will increase the visible impact of its work, whilst at the same time enhancing its reputation for academic excellence.

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

To support this the Deputy Directors are providing the Director with increased capacity to explore new opportunities to expand the work of the Institute in line with our strategy. The Head of External Affairs has brought both Communications and Marketing expertise to the Institute and a new Chief Financial Officer was appointed to manage the development of both Finance and Operations to support the Institute’s strategy.

The remedial works to the building are continuing next year – Phase I should be completed in September 2022 though some minor works remain. Phase II should be completed by the end of March 2023 at a budget of £450k.

RISK MANAGEMENT

The Institute Risk Register is kept under regular review by management and the Trustees, through internal monitoring, and the oversight provided by the Audit, Risk and Ethics Committee (AREC). These processes have covered both short- and long-term risks

There was a deep dive on commercialisation of NIESR products and reviewed the Risk Register. Whilst it was not considered necessary to add new specific risk in response to the risks involved, it was agreed that more emphasis should be placed on business continuity issues. Mitigations to risks in the category of academic reputation, financial sustainability and IT provisions have been strengthened in this regard.

The principal risks facing the institute continue to relate to financial stability and the retention of our reputation for academic excellence, independence, and integrity. We are seeking to address this by placing renewed emphasis on income diversification – both within the category of research income and in encouraging non-research income are intended to provide additional mitigation in this area. Management systems also continue to strengthen in project management and human resources, whilst our continued accreditation under ISO standards provides valuable independent assurance that our systems remain robust.

FINANCIAL REVIEW

The full year result, excluding gains on investment was a loss of £1,546m; partly due to the increase in the USS deficit recovery provision (£952k) and partly the effect of the pandemic which had not been reflected in the original budget. The value of investments has also continued to improve (currently £2,639K) of which £250k was withdrawn for building remedial works.

Statement of Financial Activities

The Statement of Financial Activities (SoFA) for the year shows a loss, before investment portfolio revaluations, of £1,546,115 (2021: loss £195,161) arising from gross unrestricted income of £1,812,690 (2021: £1,613,589) and £2,803,646 of restricted income (2021: £3,648,749).

This year’s financial statement includes an increase of £951,963 in the provision for the Universities Superannuation Scheme Deficit Recovery Plan which has been extended from 6 years to 16 years. Excluding the movement in the USS deficit provision and unrealised gains/losses on investments, the Institute recorded a net deficit for the year of £594,552 of

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

which we had an exceptional building remedial cost of £592k (2020: deficit of £201,268) as set out in the following table:

Income
Fees for research work
Economic model fees
Publications
Corporate membership
Donations and
contributions
Investment income
Other income
Expenditure
Staff costs
Other expenditure
Net surplus/(deficit)
excluding gain/(loss) on
investments and USS
deficit provision
movement*
Net gains/(losses) on
investments
Movement on USS deficit
provision
Net movement in funds as
per the statement of
financial activities
2021-2022
£
3,463,591
681,196
184,371
164,198
2,155
51,846
64,979
4,616,336
2,795,863
2,415,025
5,210,888
(594,552)
108,550
(951,563)
(1,437,565)
2020-2021
£
4,180,112
632,762
134,099
153,437
33,055
53,016
75,857
5,262,338
2,746,446
2,717,160
5,463,606
(201,268)
622,822
6,107
427,661
2019-2020
£
4,938,095
590,109
232,451
104,605
76,836
71,466
71,337
6,084,899
2,752,768
3,261,355
6,014,123
70,776
(267,456)
483,462
286,782
2018-2019
£
3,638,504
637,609
225,458
96,562
76,548
68,540
87,917
4,831,138
2,692,312
2,099,094
4,791,406
39,732
88,433
(724,117)
(595,952)

Total income for the year to 31 March 2022 has reduced by 12% compared to prior year this was driven by a 17% decrease in income from research work. It should be noted that a proportion of this revenue is passed on to organisations external to the Institute and matched by a corresponding decrease in costs. The costs attributable to grants held and awarded by our host institutions is reflected within “other expenditure” above and set out in note 5 to the financial statements within “fees and other direct costs”. Income from publications has

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

increased from previous years. Analysis of the attributable costs is set out in note 5 to the financial statements.

Expenditure for the year, excluding the movement in the USS pension provision, has decreased by 5%, primarily due to the corresponding decrease in direct research expenses noted above.

Balance Sheet

Cash at bank and in hand decreased by 21% (£336k) during the year to £1,261k this is due to the Rebuilding Macroeconomics centre entering its final year at NIESR with consequent payment of funds to external partners for projects that have completed. There is a related reduction in deferred income which can be seen in note 15 to the accounts.

Debtors have decreased by 37% and this is primarily due to accrued income payments due to external collaborators on ESCoE projects. Over 90% of trade debtors at the end of the year have been received by the time of the report’s approval.

Within deferred income of £1,676k, £1,198k represented research projects of which approximately 55% (£921k) related to Rebuilding Macroeconomics (RM) and ESCoE projects.

The level of unrestricted reserves on the balance sheet has decreased to £920k at the end of the year compared to £2,357k at 31 March 2021, with the operational deficit being partly offset by unrealised gains in the investment portfolio.

Included in the balance sheet is a provision for liabilities of £1.6m (31 March 2021: £648k). This represents the contractual obligation in relation to the USS deficit recovery plan, representing the current estimate of deficit contributions of between 2% and 6% of employers USS contributions extended until March 2038.

INVESTMENT POLICY

The Investment Committee is responsible for managing all the invested assets held by the Institute with a view to achieving a return to help further the Institute’s objectives. Paying due regard to investment risks, the Committee’s overall objectives are to create sufficient income and capital growth to support the Institute in carrying out its purposes consistently year by year with due and proper consideration for future needs and the maintenance of and, if possible, enhancement of the value of the invested funds while they are retained.

These objectives are to be achieved by investing prudently in a broad range of fixed interest securities and equities which are quoted on a Recognised Investment Exchange and unit trusts and OEICs (open ended investment companies) which are authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. There will be no investment in unquoted securities.

The Committee operates under delegated investment powers from the Council of Management, set out in its terms of reference. The Trustees have agreed to aim for a medium risk portfolio and expect the Investment Managers to balance the risk given broad market conditions. There is currently one discretionary Investment Manager, whose

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

performance is subject to regular review by the Investment Committee, and whose appointment is formally reviewed at least every three years. At the time of writing, no change to the overall investment policy or objectives has been requested.

During the year to 31 March 2022 there was a net increase in the fair value of listed investments of £108,550 (2021: net increase of £622,822).

Reserves policy and going concern

The Trustees aim to maintain free reserves in unrestricted funds at a level which provides for the ongoing running and development of the Institute and should be sufficient to cover:

The Trustees reviewed these risks and agreed that the Institute will aim to hold free reserves of between £2 - £3,000,000 in an unrestricted general fund. These reserves are subject to annual review by the Trustees and have been specifically reviewed in relation to the forecast cost of the major remedial works in the Dean Trench Street building for the period 2022/23 currently estimated as £0.5m. It has been agreed that the target level of free reserves remains broadly appropriate.

The balance held as unrestricted reserves at 31 March 2022 was £920,305k partly reflecting the £592,000 spent on the remedial works project during the year and partly the increased USS deficit recovery contribution. USS has published a revised plan for the deficit recovery contribution as at 31st March 2022 spread over 16 years in place of the previous plan spread over 7 years based on the funds’ deficit as at its last valuation in March 2020. This USS deficit provision of £1,599,579 over the next 16 years, is a much longer period than the 5 years reserves policy is intended to cover and does not include estimated future financial surpluses over the 16- year period. The proportion of expected cash contribution which relates to the next five years amounts to £500,000

Adding back the part of the USS deficit provision relating to years 6-16 of £1,099,579 results in reserves of £2,019,884 at the end of the year. It is likely that the remaining cost of the remedial works will absorb some of these reserves, but it is also expected that the USS fund will undertake a further valuation as at the end of the current 3-year period in March 2023 which will affect the value of NIESR’s unrestricted free reserves.

To facilitate the management of short-term cash flow fluctuations, a small amount of the reserves has been invested in easily accessible bank accounts. In view of the above, the Trustees have considered the risks faced by the Institute and conclude that no material uncertainties related to events or conditions that may cast significant doubt over the ability of the Institute to continue as a going concern have been identified

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

Designated funds

The Institute holds a small proportion of its reserves as a ‘designated’ Work Experience support fund. This was established in 2011 from a legacy of £10,000 from a former Institute Secretary, Mrs Kit Jones, and the money is to be used to provide an annual paid work placement for a sixth form student based in the London Borough of Barking and Dagenham, which is in line with the Institute’s charitable aims.

The levels of any designated funds are subject to annual review by the Trustees.

STRUCTURE, GOVERNANCE AND MANAGEMENT

The Institute is both a company limited by guarantee and a registered UK Charity. It is governed by a Board of Trustees who are collectively responsible for the governance and strategic direction of the Institute together with its organisational and financial health and its external reputation and delivery of public benefit, in the context of its principal object as defined in the Memorandum and Articles of Association.

The Board of Trustees consists of senior representatives from the worlds of policymaking, business and academia. All new Trustee positions are advertised publicly with the aim of appointing a diverse board with an appropriate mix of skills. Trustees are appointed at the Institute’s Annual General Meeting in December and co-opted at other times subject to election at the next AGM. Prior to election, Trustees are made aware of their obligations in relation to the Charity in line with the Memorandum and Articles of Association. New Trustees receive an induction into their role which includes understanding and fulfilling any training needs. All Trustees give of their time freely and no Trustee remuneration was paid in the year. Details of Trustee expenses and related party transactions are disclosed in notes 7 and 9 to the accounts.

The council has four committees, consisting of the following Trustees and executive staff:

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

During the year, council established a Development Committee. It pays regard both to the Institute’s research independence and its broader reputational and charitable integrity, the Committee will seek to raise funds from donors – individuals, companies and other entities – with the triple objectives of realising the Institute’s strategic plan, raising the Institute’s impact both academically and with regard to public policy, and bolstering resources for the Institute’s future growth and development

Each committee reports to Council, making recommendations for Council review and decision.

Council delegates responsibility for the day to day running of the Institute to the Director, who reports to Council quarterly. The Director works to an agreed set of objectives and key performance indicators reviewed annually, manages the research portfolio and acts as the primary representative of the organisation externally.

STAFFING

The management recognise the Unite union as having collective bargaining rights in relation to pay, hours and holiday for all employees except for the Director and his direct reports. A Staff Consultative Committee provides a forum for discussion on non-contractual issues, which the Director reports progress to all staff at regular meetings. The Nominations and Remuneration Committee has the responsibility for setting the Director’s remuneration and reviewing performance, and the Director has the responsibility for setting the remuneration of all other staff.

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Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022 STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITIES OF THE TRUSTEES

The Trustees (who are also directors of The National Institute of Economic and Social Research for the purposes of company law) are responsible for preparing the Trustees’ annual report and the financial statements in accordance with applicable law and United Kingdom Accounting Standards (United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice).

Company law requires the Trustees to prepare financial statements for each financial year which give a true and fair view of the state of affairs of the charitable company and of the incoming resources and application of resources, including the income and expenditure, of the charity for that period. In preparing these financial statements, the Trustees are required to:

Select suitable accounting policies and then apply them consistently

The Trustees are responsible for keeping adequate accounting records that disclose with reasonable accuracy at any time the financial position of the charitable company and enable them to ensure that the financial statements comply with the Companies Act 2006. They are also responsible for safeguarding the assets of the charitable company and hence for taking reasonable steps for the prevention and detection of fraud and other irregularities.

In so far as the Trustees are aware:

The Trustees are responsible for the maintenance and integrity of the corporate and financial information included on the charitable company's website. Legislation in the United Kingdom governing the preparation and dissemination of financial statements may differ from legislation in other jurisdictions.

The trustees’ annual report has been approved by the trustees and signed on their behalf by

Professor Nicholas Crafts, Chair

22 September 2022

17

Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022 INDEPENDENT AUDITOR’S REPORT TO THE MEMBERS OF THE NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH

Opinion

We have audited the financial statements of The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (the ‘charitable company’) for the year ended 31 March 2022 which comprise the statement of financial activities, balance sheet, statement of cash flows and notes to the financial statements, including significant accounting policies. The financial reporting framework that has been applied in their preparation is applicable law and United Kingdom Accounting Standards, including FRS 102 The Financial Reporting Standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland (United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice).

In our opinion, the financial statements:

Basis for opinion

We conducted our audit in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK) (ISAs (UK)) and applicable law. Our responsibilities under those standards are further described in the Auditor’s responsibilities for the audit of the financial statements section of our report. We are independent of the charitable company in accordance with the ethical requirements that are relevant to our audit of the financial statements in the UK, including the FRC’s Ethical Standard and we have fulfilled our other ethical responsibilities in accordance with these requirements. We believe that the audit evidence we have obtained is sufficient and appropriate to provide a basis for our opinion.

Conclusions relating to going concern

In auditing the financial statements, we have concluded that the trustees' use of the going concern basis of accounting in the preparation of the financial statements is appropriate.

Based on the work we have performed, we have not identified any material uncertainties relating to events or conditions that, individually or collectively, may cast significant doubt on the Institute’s ability to continue as a going concern for a period of at least twelve months from when the financial statements are authorised for issue.

Our responsibilities and the responsibilities of the trustees with respect to going concern are described in the relevant sections of this report.

18

Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022 Other Information

The other information comprises the information included in the trustees’ annual report other than the financial statements and our auditor’s report thereon. The trustees are responsible for the other information contained within the annual report. Our opinion on the financial statements does not cover the other information and, except to the extent otherwise explicitly stated in our report, we do not express any form of assurance conclusion thereon. Our responsibility is to read the other information and, in doing so, consider whether the other information is materially inconsistent with the financial statements or our knowledge obtained in the course of the audit, or otherwise appears to be materially misstated. If we identify such material inconsistencies or apparent material misstatements, we are required to determine whether this gives rise to a material misstatement in the financial statements themselves. If, based on the work we have performed, we conclude that there is a material misstatement of this other information, we are required to report that fact.

We have nothing to report in this regard.

Opinions on other matters prescribed by the Companies Act 2006

In our opinion, based on the work undertaken in the course of the audit:

Matters on which we are required to report by exception

In the light of the knowledge and understanding of the charitable company and its environment obtained in the course of the audit, we have not identified material misstatements in the trustees’ annual report. We have nothing to report in respect of the following matters in relation to which the Companies Act 2006 requires us to report to you if, in our opinion:

Responsibilities of trustees

As explained more fully in the statement of trustees’ responsibilities set out in the trustees’ annual report, the trustees (who are also the directors of the charitable company for the purposes of company law) are responsible for the preparation of the financial statements

19

Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

and for being satisfied that they give a true and fair view, and for such internal control as the trustees determine is necessary to enable the preparation of financial statements that are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error.

In preparing the financial statements, the trustees are responsible for assessing the charitable company’s ability to continue as a going concern, disclosing, as applicable, matters related to going concern and using the going concern basis of accounting unless the trustees either intend to liquidate the charitable company or to cease operations, or have no realistic alternative but to do so.

Auditor’s responsibilities for the audit of the financial statements

Our objectives are to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements as a whole are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error, and to issue an auditor’s report that includes our opinion. Reasonable assurance is a high level of assurance but is not a guarantee that an audit conducted in accordance with ISAs (UK) will always detect a material misstatement when it exists. Misstatements can arise from fraud or error and are considered material if, individually or in the aggregate, they could reasonably be expected to influence the economic decisions of users taken on the basis of these financial statements.

Irregularities, including fraud, are instances of non-compliance with laws and regulations. We design procedures in line with our responsibilities, outlined above, to detect material misstatements in respect of irregularities, including fraud. The extent to which our procedures are capable of detecting irregularities, including fraud are set out below.

Capability of the audit in detecting irregularities

In identifying and assessing risks of material misstatement in respect of irregularities, including fraud and non-compliance with laws and regulations, our procedures included the following:

20

Report and Financial Statements 31 March 2022

Because of the inherent limitations of an audit, there is a risk that we will not detect all irregularities, including those leading to a material misstatement in the financial statements or non-compliance with regulation. This risk increases the more that compliance with a law or regulation is removed from the events and transactions reflected in the financial statements, as we will be less likely to become aware of instances of non-compliance. The risk is also greater regarding irregularities occurring due to fraud rather than error, as fraud involves intentional concealment, forgery, collusion, omission or misrepresentation.

A further description of our responsibilities is available on the Financial Reporting Council’s website at: www.frc.org.uk/auditorsresponsibilities. This description forms part of our auditor’s report.

Use of our report

This report is made solely to the charitable company's members as a body, in accordance with Chapter 3 of Part 16 of the Companies Act 2006. Our audit work has been undertaken so that we might state to the charitable company's members those matters we are required to state to them in an auditor’s report and for no other purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the charitable company and the charitable company's members as a body, for our audit work, for this report, or for the opinions we have formed.

Judith Miller (Senior statutory auditor) 9 November 2022.

for and on behalf of Sayer Vincent LLP, Statutory Auditor Invicta House, 108-114 Golden Lane, LONDON, EC1Y 0TL

21

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Statement of financial activities (incorporating an income and expenditure account)

For the year ended 31 March 2022

2022
Unrestricted
Note
£
Income from:
2,155
2
659,945
681,196
184,371
3
233,177
4
51,846
1,812,690
2,276,850
714,384
596,237
63,422
Investment management
5,118
5a
3,656,011
108,550
6
(1,734,771)
297,206
(1,437,565)
20a
2,357,870
920,305
Investments
Total income
Expenditure on:
Donations and contributions
Charitable activities
Other trading activities
Econometric model
Research work
Publications
Net (expenditure)/income for the year
Total expenditure
Net (expenditure)/income before net
gains on investments
Charitable activities
Econometric model
Research work
Net gains on investments
Other trading activities
Publications
(1,843,321)
Total funds brought forward
Total funds carried forward
Transfers between funds
Reconciliation of funds:
Net movement in funds
2022
Unrestricted
Note
£
Income from:
2,155
2
659,945
681,196
184,371
3
233,177
4
51,846
1,812,690
2,276,850
714,384
596,237
63,422
Investment management
5,118
5a
3,656,011
108,550
6
(1,734,771)
297,206
(1,437,565)
20a
2,357,870
920,305
Investments
Total income
Expenditure on:
Donations and contributions
Charitable activities
Other trading activities
Econometric model
Research work
Publications
Net (expenditure)/income for the year
Total expenditure
Net (expenditure)/income before net
gains on investments
Charitable activities
Econometric model
Research work
Net gains on investments
Other trading activities
Publications
(1,843,321)
Total funds brought forward
Total funds carried forward
Transfers between funds
Reconciliation of funds:
Net movement in funds
2022
Restricted
£
-
2,803,646
-
-
-
-
2022
Total
£
2,155
3,463,591
681,196
184,371
233,177
51,846
2021
Unrestricted
£
33,055
531,363
632,762
134,099
229,294
53,016
2021
Restricted
£
-
3,648,749
-
-
-
-
2021
Total
£
33,055
4,180,112
632,762
134,099
229,294
53,016
1,812,690 2,803,646 4,616,336 1,613,589 3,648,749 5,262,338
2,276,850
714,384
596,237
63,422
5,118
2,506,440
-
-
-
-
4,783,290
714,384
596,237
63,422
5,118
1,242,490
495,024
273,082
65,901
5,518
3,375,484
-
-
-
-
4,617,974
495,024
273,082
65,901
5,518
3,656,011 2,506,440 6,162,451 2,082,015 3,375,484 5,457,499
108,550
(1,843,321)
-
297,206
108,550
(1,546,115)
622,822
(468,426)
-
273,265
622,822
(195,161)
(1,734,771)
297,206
297,206
(297,206)
(1,437,565)
-
154,396
273,265
273,265
(273,265)
427,661
-
(1,437,565)
2,357,870
-
-
(1,437,565)
2,357,870
427,661
1,930,209
-
-
427,661
1,930,209
920,305 - 920,305 2,357,870 - 2,357,870

All of the above results are derived from continuing activities. There were no other recognised gains or losses other than those stated above. Movements in funds are disclosed in Note 20a to the financial statements.

22

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Balance sheet

Company no. 0341010

As at 31 March 2022

Note
Fixed assets:
11
12
Current assets:
14
Liabilities:
15
17
19a
20a
Total unrestricted funds excluding pension provision
Total unrestricted funds
Pension provision
General funds
Investments
Cash at bank and in hand
Tangible assets
Creditors: amounts falling due within one year
Net current (liabilities)/assets
Total assets less current liabilities
Restricted income funds
Total funds
Unrestricted income funds:
Designated funds
Debtors
Funds:
Total net assets
Provisions for liabilities
2022
£
193,101
2,638,822
2021
£
137,645
2,801,515
2,831,923
1,051,688
1,260,993
2,939,160
1,673,577
1,597,128
2,312,681
(2,624,720)
3,270,705
(3,203,979)
(312,039) 66,726
2,519,884
(1,599,579)
3,005,886
(648,016)
920,305 2,357,870
-
8,995
2,510,889
-
8,995
2,996,891
2,519,884
(1,599,579)
3,005,886
(648,016)
920,305 2,357,870
920,305 2,357,870

Approved by the Trustees and signed on their behalf by

Professor Nicholas Crafts Chair, Council of Management

Date: 22 September 2022

23

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Statement of cash flows

For the year ended 31 March 2022

Note
£
£
(1,437,565)
(as per the statement of financial activities)
Depreciation charges
11,583
Losses on disposal of fixed assets
-
(Gains) on investments
(108,550)
Dividends, interest and rent from investments
(51,846)
Decrease/(increase) in debtors
621,889
(Decrease)/increase in creditors
(579,259)
Increase/(decrease) in provisions for liabilities
951,563
Net cash used in operating activities
(592,185)
51,846
(67,039)
526,467
511,274
(80,911)
1,616,314
1,535,403
At 1 April
2021
Cash flows
£
£
Cash at bank and in hand
1,597,128
(336,135)
Cash held within investments
19,186
255,224
Total cash and cash equivalents
1,616,314
(80,911)
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year
Change in cash and cash equivalents in the year
2022
Cash flows from operating activities
Net cash provided by investing activities
Cash flows from investing activities:
Dividends, interest and rents from investments
Purchase of fixed assets
Sale of investments
Net (expenditure)/income for the year
Note
£
£
(1,437,565)
(as per the statement of financial activities)
Depreciation charges
11,583
Losses on disposal of fixed assets
-
(Gains) on investments
(108,550)
Dividends, interest and rent from investments
(51,846)
Decrease/(increase) in debtors
621,889
(Decrease)/increase in creditors
(579,259)
Increase/(decrease) in provisions for liabilities
951,563
Net cash used in operating activities
(592,185)
51,846
(67,039)
526,467
511,274
(80,911)
1,616,314
1,535,403
At 1 April
2021
Cash flows
£
£
Cash at bank and in hand
1,597,128
(336,135)
Cash held within investments
19,186
255,224
Total cash and cash equivalents
1,616,314
(80,911)
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year
Change in cash and cash equivalents in the year
2022
Cash flows from operating activities
Net cash provided by investing activities
Cash flows from investing activities:
Dividends, interest and rents from investments
Purchase of fixed assets
Sale of investments
Net (expenditure)/income for the year
Note
£
£
(1,437,565)
(as per the statement of financial activities)
Depreciation charges
11,583
Losses on disposal of fixed assets
-
(Gains) on investments
(108,550)
Dividends, interest and rent from investments
(51,846)
Decrease/(increase) in debtors
621,889
(Decrease)/increase in creditors
(579,259)
Increase/(decrease) in provisions for liabilities
951,563
Net cash used in operating activities
(592,185)
51,846
(67,039)
526,467
511,274
(80,911)
1,616,314
1,535,403
At 1 April
2021
Cash flows
£
£
Cash at bank and in hand
1,597,128
(336,135)
Cash held within investments
19,186
255,224
Total cash and cash equivalents
1,616,314
(80,911)
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year
Change in cash and cash equivalents in the year
2022
Cash flows from operating activities
Net cash provided by investing activities
Cash flows from investing activities:
Dividends, interest and rents from investments
Purchase of fixed assets
Sale of investments
Net (expenditure)/income for the year
£
£
427,661
9,342
11,134
(622,822)
(53,016)
(377,372)
19,481
(6,107)
(591,699)
53,016
-
13,743
66,759
(524,940)
2,141,254
1,616,314
Other
changes
At 31 March
2022
£
£
-
1,260,993
-
274,410
-
1,535,403
2021
£
£
427,661
9,342
11,134
(622,822)
(53,016)
(377,372)
19,481
(6,107)
(591,699)
53,016
-
13,743
66,759
(524,940)
2,141,254
1,616,314
Other
changes
At 31 March
2022
£
£
-
1,260,993
-
274,410
-
1,535,403
2021
51,846
(67,039)
526,467
53,016
-
13,743
At 1 April
2021
£
1,597,128
19,186
Other
changes
£
-
-
(80,911)
1,616,314
(524,940)
2,141,254
1,535,403 1,616,314
Cash flows
£
(336,135)
255,224
At 31 March
2022
£
1,260,993
274,410
1,616,314 (80,911) - 1,535,403

24

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

a) Statutory information

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research is a charitable company limited by guarantee and is incorporated in the United Kingdom.

The registered office address is 2 Dean Trench Street, Smith Square, London, SW1P 3HE.

b) Basis of preparation

The financial statements have been prepared in accordance with Accounting and Reporting by Charities: Statement of Recommended Practice applicable to charities preparing their accounts in accordance with the Financial Reporting Standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland (FRS 102) - (Charities SORP FRS 102), the Financial Reporting Standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland (FRS 102) and the Companies Act 2006.

Assets and liabilities are initially recognised at historical cost or transaction value unless otherwise stated in the relevant accounting policy or note.

In applying the financial reporting framework, the trustees have made a number of subjective judgements, for example in respect of significant accounting estimates. Estimates and judgements are continually evaluated and are based on historical experience and other factors, including expectations of future events that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. The nature of the estimation means the actual outcomes could differ from those estimates. Any significant estimates and judgements affecting these financial statements are detailed within the relevant accounting policy below.

c) Public benefit entity

The charitable company meets the definition of a public benefit entity under FRS 102.

d) Going concern

The trustees do not consider that there are any sources of estimation uncertainty at the reporting date that have a significant risk of causing a material adjustment to the carrying amounts of assets and liabilities within the next reporting period.

The unrestricted deficit relates to the negative movement in the USS deficit recovery provision which will crystallise over the next 16 years. The annual cost is forecast to be similar to that incurred in the year 2020/21. The Trustees agree the liquid investments can be drawn upon to support working capital as necessary, therefore see the charity as a going concern.

e) Income

Income is recognised when the charity has entitlement to the funds, any performance conditions attached to the income have been met, it is probable that the income will be received and that the amount can be measured reliably.

Income from government and other grants, whether ‘capital’ grants or ‘revenue’ grants, is recognised when the charity has entitlement to the funds, any performance conditions attached to the grants have been met, it is probable that the income will be received and the amount can be measured reliably and is not deferred.

Income received in advance of the provision of a specified service is deferred until the criteria for income recognition are met.

f) Interest and dividends receivable

Interest on funds held on deposit and dividends on investments are included when receivable and the amount can be measured reliably by the charity. This is normally upon notification of the interest paid or payable by the bank or, with dividends, as notified by the investment manager.

g) Fund accounting

Unrestricted funds are donations and other incoming resources received or generated for the charitable purposes.

Designated funds are unrestricted funds earmarked by the trustees for particular purposes.

25

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

h) Expenditure and irrecoverable VAT Expenditure is recognised once there is a legal or constructive obligation to make a payment to a third party, it is probable that settlement will be required and the amount of the obligation can be measured reliably. Expenditure is classified under the following activity headings:

Irrecoverable VAT is charged as a cost against the activity for which the expenditure was incurred.

i) Allocation of support costs

Resources expended are allocated to the particular activity where the cost relates directly to that activity.

Support and governance costs, including the salary and overhead costs of the central function, are re-allocated to each of the activities on the following basis which is an estimate, based on staff time, of the amount attributable to each activity in the year.

2022 2021
Research work 72.7% 77.4%
Econometric model 14.8% 12.7%
Publications 11.0% 7.6%
Other trading activities 1.4% 2.1%
Investment management 0.1% 0.2%

Governance costs are the costs associated with the governance arrangements of the charity. These costs are associated with constitutional and statutory requirements and include any costs associated with the strategic management of the charity’s activities.

j) Tangible fixed assets

Items of equipment are capitalised where the purchase price exceeds £1,500. Depreciation costs are allocated to activities on the basis of the use of the related assets in those activities. Assets are reviewed for impairment if circumstances indicate their carrying value may exceed their net realisable value and value in use. Major components are treated as a separate asset where they have significantly different patterns of consumption of economic benefits and are depreciated separately over its useful life.

Where fixed assets have been revalued, any excess between the revalued amount and the historic cost of the asset will be shown as a revaluation reserve in the balance sheet.

Depreciation is provided at rates calculated to write down the cost of each asset to its estimated residual value over its expected useful life. The depreciation rates in use are as follows:

Property improvements 10 years
Office and computer equipment 3 years
IT upgrade 4 years
Website development 4 years

Land is not depreciated as it is deemed to have an infinite useful life.

k) Listed investments

Investments are a form of basic financial instrument and are initially recognised at their transaction value and subsequently measured at their fair value as at the balance sheet date using the closing quoted market price. Any change in fair value will be recognised in the statement of financial activities. Investment gains and losses, whether realised or unrealised, are combined and shown in the heading “Net gains/(losses) on investments” in the statement of financial activities. The charity does not acquire put options, derivatives or other complex financial instruments.

26

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

Investments in subsidiaries are at cost.

m) Debtors

Trade and other debtors are recognised at the settlement amount due after any trade discount offered. Prepayments are valued at the amount prepaid net of any trade discounts due.

Short term deposits includes cash balances that are invested in accounts with a maturity date of between 3 and 12 months.

o) Cash at bank and in hand

p) Creditors and provisions

Creditors and provisions are recognised where the charity has a present obligation resulting from a past event that will probably result in the transfer of funds to a third party and the amount due to settle the obligation can be measured or estimated reliably. Creditors and provisions are normally recognised at their settlement amount after allowing for any trade discounts due.

q) Financial instruments

With the exception of the listed investments described above, the charity only has financial assets and financial liabilities of a kind that qualify as basic financial instruments. Basic financial instruments are initially recognised at transaction value and subsequently measured at their settlement value with the exception of bank loans which are subsequently measured at amortised cost using the effective interest method.

r) Pensions

The charity participates in Universities Superannuation Scheme. The assets of the scheme are held in a separate trusteeadministered fund. Because of the mutual nature of the scheme, the assets are not attributed to individual institutions and a scheme-wide contribution rate is set. The institution is therefore exposed to actuarial risks associated with other institutions’ employees and is unable to identify its share of the underlying assets and liabilities of the scheme on a consistent and reasonable basis. As required by Section 28 of FRS 102 “Employee benefits”, the institution therefore accounts for the scheme as if it were a defined contribution scheme. As a result, the amount charged to the profit and loss account represents the contributions payable to the scheme. Since the institution has entered into an agreement (the Recovery Plan) that determines how each employer within the scheme will fund the overall deficit, the institution recognises a liability for the contributions payable that arise from the agreement (to the extent that they relate to the deficit) with related expenses being recognised through the profit and loss account.

The charity also operates an Auto-Enrolment Compliant (AE) defined contribution scheme. The assets of these schemes are individually held by its members. Contributions to these schemes in the year were charged to the statement of financial activities as incurred.

s) Critical accounting judgements

FRS 102 makes the distinction between a group plan and a multi-employer scheme. A group plan consists of a collection of entities under common control typically with a sponsoring employer. A multi-employer scheme is a scheme for entities not under common control and represents (typically) an industry-wide scheme such as Universities Superannuation Scheme. The accounting for a multi-employer scheme where the employer has entered into an agreement with the scheme that determines how the employer will fund a deficit results in the recognition of a liability for the contributions payable that arise from the agreement (to the extent that they relate to the deficit) and the resulting expense in profit or loss in accordance with section 28 of FRS 102. The trustees are satisfied that Universities Superannuation Scheme meets the definition of a multi-employer scheme and has therefore recognised the discounted fair value of the contractual contributions under the recovery plan in existence at the date of approving these financial statements.

27

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

2 Income from charitable activities

Research work
Government
Research Councils
Trusts & Foundations
European Commission institutions
Other
Sub-total
Econometric model fees
Subscriptions
Sub-total
Publications
Sales and other
Sub-total
Total income from charitable activities
Unrestricted
£
291,171
-
32,086
13,757
322,931
Restricted
£
1,453,075
828,258
374,501
-
147,812
2022
Total
£
1,744,246
828,258
406,587
13,757
470,743
Unrestricted
£
299,065
-
70,693
25,523
136,082
Restricted
£
1,299,500
2,009,651
297,009
-
42,589
2021
Total
£
1,598,565
2,009,651
367,702
25,523
178,671
659,945
681,196
2,803,646
-
3,463,591
681,196
531,363
632,762
3,648,749
-
4,180,112
632,762
681,196
184,371
-
-
681,196
184,371
632,762
134,099
-
-
632,762
134,099
184,371 - 184,371 134,099 - 134,099
1,525,512 2,803,646 4,329,158 1,298,224 3,648,749 4,946,973

3 Income from other trading activities

Other income
Corporate membership
Room rental
2022
Total
£
164,198
24,543
44,436
2021
Total
£
153,437
21,231
54,626
233,177 229,294

All income from other trading activities is unrestricted.

Dividends
Bank interest
2022
Total
£
51,846
-
2021
Total
£
53,002
14
51,846 53,016

All income from investments is unrestricted.

28

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

5a Analysis of expenditure (current year)

Staff costs (Note 7)
Fees and other direct costs
Travel and subsistence
Books and journals
Research materials
Sundry expenses
Premises
IT
Professional fees
Depreciation
Finance costs and bad debts
Support costs
Governance costs
Total expenditure 2022
Total expenditure 2021
Raisingfunds Raisingfunds Charitable activities Charitable activities Charitable activities Governance
costs
£
-
-
217
-
-
12,888
-
-
16,263
-
-
Support
costs
£
586,395
-
325
25,850
-
115,236
643,861
71,163
18,931
11,583
3,034
2022
Total
£
3,747,426
1,405,264
17,533
26,070
53,239
144,277
643,861
74,970
35,194
11,583
3,034
2021
Total
£
2,740,339
2,111,049
3,910
22,278
100,404
192,385
116,638
131,672
25,997
9,342
3,485
Investment
management
£
3,467
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Other trading
activities
£
42,959
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Publications
£
347,756
82,708
121
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Econometric
model
£
469,493
2,026
-
-
18,307
144
-
772
-
-
-
Research
work
£
2,297,356
1,320,530
16,870
220
34,932
16,009
-
3,035
-
-
-
3,467
1,619
32
42,959
20,064
399
430,585
162,421
3,231
490,742
219,280
4,362
3,688,952
1,072,994
21,344
29,368
-
(29,368)
1,476,378
(1,476,378)
-
6,162,451
-
-
5,457,499
-
-
5,118 63,422 596,237 714,384 4,783,290 - - 6,162,451 5,457,499
5,518 65,901 273,082 495,024 4,617,974 - -

29

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

5b Analysis of expenditure (prior year)

Staff costs (Note 7)
Fees and other direct costs
Travel and subsistence
Books and journals
Research materials
Sundry expenses
Premises
IT
Professional fees
Depreciation
Finance costs and bad debts
Support costs
Governance costs
Total expenditure 2021
Raisingfunds Raisingfunds Charitable activities Charitable activities Charitable activities Governance
costs
£
-
-
61
-
-
4,976
-
-
15,500
-
-
Support
costs
2021
Total
£
£
538,184
2,740,339
-
2,111,049
(926)
3,910
22,278
22,278
-
100,404
102,913
192,385
116,638
116,638
113,594
131,672
10,497
25,997
9,342
9,342
3,485
3,485
916,005
5,457,499
(916,005)
-
-
-
-
5,457,499
Investment
management
£
3,875
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Other trading
activities
£
45,185
1,500
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Publications
£
168,179
33,379
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Econometric
model
£
280,111
1,882
-
-
93,218
291
-
395
-
-
-
Research
work
£
1,704,805
2,074,288
4,775
-
7,186
84,205
-
17,683
-
-
-
3,875
1,607
36
46,685
18,795
421
201,558
69,956
1,568
375,897
116,515
2,612
3,892,942
709,132
15,900
20,537
-
(20,537)
5,518 65,901 273,082 495,024 4,617,974 -

30

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

This is stated after charging:

This is stated after charging:
2022 2021
£ £
Depreciation 11,583 9,342
Loss on disposal of fixed assets - 11,134
Auditor's remuneration (excluding VAT):
Audit 15,800 15,500
Other services 950 900
Foreign exchange losses 1,051 1,228

Staff costs were as follows:

Staff costs were as follows:
Total staff before movement in USS pension provision
Employer’s contribution to defined benefit pension schemes
Social security costs
Employer’s contribution to defined contribution pension schemes
Salaries and wages
Total staff costs
Interim staff costs
Movement in provision for USS pension scheme
2022
£
2,115,696
126,552
221,513
28,414
303,688
2021
£
2,156,187
9,854
228,120
42,614
309,671
2,795,863
951,563
2,746,446
(6,107)
3,747,426 2,740,339

The following number of employees received employee benefits exceeding £60,000 (excluding employer pension costs and employer's national insurance) during the year between:

2022 2021
No. No.
£60,000 - £69,999 4 3
£70,000 - £79,999 3 1
£80,000 - £89,999 1 1
£90,000 - £99,999 1 1
£110,000 - £119,999 - 1
£150,000 - £159,999 1 1

The key management of the charity comprise the trustees, the Director, two Deputy Directors, Chief Financial Officer and Head of External Affairs. The total employee benefits (including employer's pension contributions and employer's national insurance) of the key management personnel were £573,243 (2021: £457,027). In 2021, the key management of the charity comprised the trustees, the Director, two Deputy Directors, Head of Finance and Chief Operating Officer.

As permitted by the charity’s memorandum and articles of association, the Director is also a member of the Council of Management. During the year, the Director received a salary of £156,840 (2021: £153,000) plus pension benefits of £33,093 (2021: £32,705). No other charity trustees were paid nor received any other benefits from employment with the charity in the year (2021: £nil). No charity trustee received payment for professional or other services supplied to the charity (2021: £nil).

Trustees' expenses represent the payment or reimbursement of travel and subsistence costs and totalled £217 (2021: £60) incurred by 3 (2021: 1) members relating to attendance at meetings of the trustees.

The average number of employees (head count based on number of staff employed and interim management personnel) during the year was 49 (2021: 48).

8 Staff numbers

31

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

9 Related party transactions

There are no related party transactions to disclose for 2022 (2021: none).

There are no donations from related parties which are outside the normal course of business and no restricted donations from related parties.

10 Taxation

The charity is exempt from corporation tax as all its income is charitable and is applied for charitable purposes. All profits from the charity's trading subsidiary NIESR Services Limited are paid to the parent charity by way of a distribution under gift aid and a corresponding tax credit is recorded at the point of the distribution, therefore there is no liability to corporation tax in either the current or prior financial year. The charity's trading subsidiary has been dormant in both current and prior accounting periods and hence there is no distribution expected to be made.

11 Tangible fixed assets

At the start of the year
Additions in year
Disposals in year
At the end of the year
At the start of the year
Charge for the year
At the end of the year
At the end of the year
At the start of the year
Depreciation
Net book value
Cost
Freehold
property
£
118,380
-
-
Property
improvements
£
106,785
36,736
-
IT and office
equipment
£
170,258
30,303
-
Website
£
42,498
-
-
Total
£
437,921
67,039
-
118,380 143,521 200,561 42,498 504,960
-
-
106,785
328
150,993
11,255
42,498
-
300,276
11,583
- 107,113 162,248 42,498 311,859
118,380 36,408 38,313 - 193,101
118,380 - 19,265 - 137,645

During 2016 the charity sought independent professional advice in relation to the value of its freehold property. This advice indicated a valuation significantly in excess of the carrying value of the assets in the financial statements. As a result the charity reconfirmed its practice in recent years of not depreciating its freehold property.

All of the above assets are used for charitable purposes.

12 Investments

Investments
Net gain/(loss) on change in fair value
Fair value at the start of the year
Additions at cost
Investment in subsidiary companies
Listed investments
Disposal proceeds
Fair value at the end of the year
Cash held by investment broker
2022
£
2,782,327
-
(526,467)
108,550
2021
£
2,173,248
-
(13,743)
622,822
2,364,410
2
274,410
2,782,327
2
19,186
2,638,822 2,801,515

32

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

13 Subsidiary undertaking

The charitable owns the whole of the issued ordinary share capital of NIESR Services Limited, a company registered in England (Company number: 04063185, address: 2 Dean Trench Street, London, SW1P 3HE). The company was dormant in both the current and prior accounting periods and hence has not been consolidated into these financial statements. Available profits are distributed under gift aid to the charitable company. The Director of the charitable company is also director of the subsidiary.

14 Debtors

Accrued income
Amounts owed from subsidiary undertaking
Trade debtors
Prepayments and other debtors
2022
£
617,416
34,860
714
398,698
2021
£
1,160,427
30,835
797
481,518
1,051,688 1,673,577

With the exception of listed investments, all of the charity’s financial instruments, both assets and liabilities, are measured at amortised cost.

15 Creditors: amounts falling due within one year

Trade creditors
Taxation and social security
Accruals
Deferred income (note 16)
2022
£
443,411
76,799
428,769
1,675,741
2021
£
671,763
175,832
363,178
1,993,206
2,624,720 3,203,979

16 Deferred income

Deferred income comprises income received in advance of the provision of a specified service.

Balance at the end of the year
Econometric model subscriptions
Research work
Corporate membership
Royalty income
2022
£
326,123
1,198,075
81,043
70,500
2021
£
326,636
1,492,383
101,229
72,958
1,675,741 1,993,206

33

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

17 Provisions for liabilities

Obligation to fund deficit on USS pension
At the end of the year
At the start of the year
Movement in year
2022
£
648,016
951,563
2021
£
654,123
(6,107)
1,599,579 648,016

The obligation to fund the past deficit on the University’s Superannuation Scheme (USS) arises from the contractual obligation with the pension scheme for total payments relating to benefits arising from past performance. Management have assessed future employees within the USS scheme and salary payment over the period of the contracted obligation in assessing the value of this provision. The shortfall is expected to be eliminated in 18 years from 31 March 2020 the period over which outflow related to this provision is expected. The changes in salary costs and staff numbers have been assessed using the forecast impact of the Institute's plans on the number of staff employed, and known statutory and other increases to pay. The discount rate used considered to be the equivalent of that of a high quality corporate bond.

Deficit recovery contributions due within one year for the charity are £100,352 (2021: £65,149).

18a Pension schemes - Universities Superannuation Scheme (USS)

The total amount charged to the statement of financial activities for the year relating to USS pensions was £1,255,251 (2021: credit of £303,564) as shown in note 7.

The latest available complete actuarial valuation of the Retirement Income Builder is at 31 March 2020 (the valuation date). The next full valuation is due at 31 March 2023.

Since the institution cannot identify its share of USS Retirement Income Builder (defined benefit) assets and liabilities, the following disclosures reflect those relevant for those assets and liabilities as a whole.

The 2020 valuation was carried out under the scheme-specific funding regime introduced by the Pensions Act 2004, which requires schemes to adopt a statutory funding objective, which is to have sufficient and appropriate assets to cover their technical provisions. At the valuation date, the value of the assets of the scheme was £66.5 billion and the value of the scheme’s technical provisions under the implementation of JNC recommendations was £80.6 billion indicating a shortfall of £14.1 billion and a funding ratio of 83%. The key financial assumptions used in the 2020 valuation are described below. More detail is set out in the Statement of Funding Principles. For the 2020 valuation, a ‘dual discount rate’, was used meaning using separate discount rates pre and post-retirement to work out the current cost of future pension obligations for members paying into their pension and for members that have retired. This notionally allows for a lower-risk investment strategy for assets which back pensions that are being paid, and a higher-risk strategy for assets which back pensions prior to members’ retirement. Assuming the scheme remains stable, this means that the overall actual investment strategy can remain more consistent over time than was allowed for in previous valuations, while still giving sufficient security to members’ benefits.

The key financial assumptions used in the 2018 valuation are described below. More detail is set out in the Statement of Funding Principles.

Pension increases Current pension increases (for both pre- and post-2011 benefits): (all subject to a floor of 0.%) CPI assumption + 5bps Increases capped at 2.50% CPI assumption – 35bps Discount rate Fixed interest gilt yield curve plus: Pre-retirement: 2.75% p.a. Post-retirement 1.00% p.a. The main demographic assumption used relates to the mortality assumptions. These assumptions are based on analysis of the scheme’s experience carried out as part of the 2020 actuarial valuation. The mortality assumptions used in these figures are as follows:

2018 valuation Mortality base table 101% of S2PMA ‘light’ for males and 95% of S3PFA for females Future improvements to mortality CMI 2019 with a smoothing parameter of 7.5, and initial addition of 0.50% p.a. and a long-term improvement rate of 1.80% p.a. for males and 1.60% p.a. for females

34

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

18a Pension schemes - Universities Superannuation Scheme (USS) (continued)

The current life expectancies on retirement at age 65 are:

2022 2021
Males currently aged 65 (years) 24.4 24.6
Females currently aged 65 (years) 25.9 26.1
Males currently aged 45 (years) 26.3 26.6
Females currently aged 45 (years) 27.7 27.9

The recovery plan in the 2020 actuarial valuation requires employers to make additional contributions towards repairing the deficit. These contributions are 6.2% of salaries from 1 April 2022 to 31 March 2024, increasing to 6.3% from 1 April 2024 to 30 April 2038. This recovery plan aims to recover the deficit over a period slightly over 18 years from the 2020 valuation date.

from the 2020 valuation date.
2022 2021
Discount rate (pensioners/ non pensioners) 1.4% / 0.7% 2.10%
Pensionable salary growth n/a n/a
Pension increases (CPI) 2.20% 2.60%

18b Pension schemes - defined contribution

The charity operates an Auto-Enrolment Compliant (AE) defined contribution scheme with Legal and General for nonresearch staff members who do not qualify for the Universities Superannuation Scheme.

The total cost charged to the statement of financial activities for the year relating to non-USS pension contributions was £28,414 (2021: £42,614) as shown in note 7.

19a Analysis of net assets between funds (current year)

Provisions for liabilities
Tangible fixed assets
Investments
Net current (liabilities)/assets
Net assets at 31 March 2022
General
unrestricted
£
193,101
2,638,822
(321,034)
(1,599,579)
Designated
funds
£
-
-
8,995
-
Restricted
funds
£
-
-
-
-
Total funds
£
193,101
2,638,822
(312,039)
(1,599,579)
911,310 8,995 - 920,305

19b Analysis of net assets between funds (prior year)

Tangible fixed assets
Provisions for liabilities
Investments
Net current assets
Net assets at 31 March 2021
General
unrestricted
£
137,645
2,801,515
57,731
(648,016)
Designated
funds
£
-
-
8,995
-
Restricted
funds
£
-
-
-
-
Total funds
£
137,645
2,801,515
66,726
(648,016)
2,348,875 8,995 - 2,357,870

35

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

20a Movements in funds (current year)

Total restricted funds
Total designated funds
General funds
Pension provision
Work experience support fund
Total funds
Designated funds:
Total unrestricted funds
Restricted funds:
Unrestricted funds:
At 1 April
2021
£
-
Income
& gains
£
2,803,646
Expenditure
& losses
£
(2,506,440)
Transfers
£
(297,206)
At 31 March
2022
£
-
- 2,803,646 (2,506,440) (297,206) -
8,995 - - - 8,995
8,995 - - - 8,995
2,996,891
(648,016)
1,921,240
-
(3,656,011)
-
1,248,769
(951,563)
2,510,889
(1,599,579)
2,357,870 1,921,240 (3,656,011) 297,206 920,305
2,357,870 4,724,886 (6,162,451) - 920,305

The narrative to explain the purpose of each fund is given at the foot of the note below.

20b Movements in funds (prior year)

Movements in funds (prior year)
Total restricted funds
Total designated funds
General funds
Pension provision
Restricted funds:
Total funds
Total unrestricted funds
Unrestricted funds:
Designated funds:
Work experience support fund
At 1 April
2020
£
-
Income &
gains
£
3,648,749
Expenditure
& losses
£
(3,375,484)
Transfers
£
(273,265)
At 31 March
2021
£
-
- 3,648,749 (3,375,484) (273,265) -
8,995 - - - 8,995
8,995 - - - 8,995
2,575,337
(654,123)
2,236,411
-
(2,082,015)
-
267,158
6,107
2,996,891
(648,016)
1,930,209 2,236,411 (2,082,015) 273,265 2,357,870
1,930,209 5,885,160 (5,457,499) - 2,357,870

36

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Notes to the financial statements

For the year ended 31 March 2022

20c Movement in funds (purposes of funds)

Purposes of restricted funds

Restricted funds represent amounts received from funders which have to be used for the specific purpose for which they were given. Restricted income is set out by source below for all funders contributing in excess of £30,000 of restricted income during the year.

restricted income during the year.
Innovate UK
Office for National Statistics
Nuffield Foundation
Leverhulme Trust
Other
Education Endowment Foundation
Economic and Social Research Council
WWCSC
Financial Fairness Trust
2022
Total
£
1,453,075
828,257
206,238
134,320
124,493
33,824
-
-
23,440
2021
Total
£
1,299,500
1,959,748
177,124
100,374
-
-
49,902
7,967
54,134
2,803,647 3,648,749

Purposes of designated funds

Work experience support fund: Funded from a legacy of £10,000 received in 2011 from a former Secretary, Mrs Kit Jones, this designated fund is to enable paid work placements for sixth form students from the London Borough of Barking and Dagenham.

21 Legal status of the charity

The charity is a company limited by guarantee and has no share capital. The liability of each member in the event of winding up is limited to £1.

37