Center on Long-term Risk
Annual report and financial statements
For the year ended 31 December 2023 Charity registration number: 1195079
Doc ID: 00cb89e3328174b40035841b0e01f4c24fb6c669
Center on Long- term Risk
Contents
| Page | |
|---|---|
| Reference and administrative details | 1 |
| Trustees’ report | 2 - 8 |
| Independent auditors’ report | 9 – 11 |
| Statement of financial activities | 12 |
| Comparative statement of financial activities | 13 |
| Statement of financial position | 14 |
| Statement of cash flow | 15 |
| Notes to the financial statements | 16 - 27 |
Doc ID: 00cb89e3328174b40035841b0e01f4c24fb6c669
Center on Long-term Risk
Reference and administrative details
For the year ended 31 December 2023
| Trustees | Max Marian Daniel |
|---|---|
| Linh Chi Nguyen | |
| Tobias Baumann | |
| Jonas Emanuel Vollmer | |
| Stefan Torges | |
| Charity registered number | 1195079 |
| Registered address & Principal office | 3rdFloor, Block C, Imperial Works |
| Perren Street, | |
| London | |
| NW5 3ED | |
| Independent auditor | Buzzacott LLP |
| 130 Wood Street | |
| London | |
| EC2V 6DL | |
| Bankers | Unity Trust Bank PLC, |
| Four Brindleyplace, | |
| Birmingham | |
| B1 2JB | |
| Wise Payments Ltd, | |
| 6thFloor, Tea Building, | |
| 56 Shoreditch High Street, | |
| London E1 6JJ | |
| Legal advisers | Stone King LLP |
| Boundary House | |
| 91 Charterhouse Street | |
| London EC1M 6HR | |
| Maurice Turnor Gardner LLP | |
| 15thFloor, Milton House | |
| Milton Street, | |
| London EC2Y 9BH | |
| BDB Pitmans LLP | |
| One Bartholomew Close | |
| London | |
| EC1A 7BL |
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Center on Long-term Risk
Trustees’ report
For the year ended 31 December 2023
The trustees present their annual report together with the financial statements of Center on Long-term Risk (‘the Charity’) for the year ended 31 December 2023.
STRUCTURE, GOVERNANCE AND MANAGEMENT
Constitution
The Center on Long-term Risk (‘CLR’, the ‘Charity’) is a Charitable Incorporated Organisation, governed by its Constitution, as dated 25th March 2021.
The Charity, registered as a charitable incorporated organisation (CIO), is a corporate body with a constitution that is registered with and regulated by the Charity Commission. It was registered on 7 July 2021 with its Charity Registration Number being 1195079.
Appointment of trustees
New trustees are selected by vote of the existing trustees. The trustees seek candidates who have expertise and experience relevant to the Charity’s operations and mission. New trustees are given relevant internal documentation and onboarding materials, referred to Charity Commission guidance for new trustees, and introduced to existing trustees and staff.
The Charity is governed by the board of trustees, however day-to-day operations are delegated to the senior management team, consisting of the following individuals:
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Jesse Clifton, Lead Researcher until August 2023, Executive Director from August 2023.
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Emery Cooper, Lead Researcher, until August 2023.
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Harry Day, Director of Operations, From June 2024.
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Amrit Sidhu-Brar, Director of Operations, From March 2023 until June 2024.
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Stefan Torges[1] , Director of Operations, until June 2023.
Specific trustee and staff duties and delegations are set out in the Charity’s delegation scheme.
The trustees consider that they, together with the aforementioned senior management team comprise the Charity’s key management personnel. The trustees are not remunerated for their services to the Charity. The remuneration of the senior management team is reviewed and agreed annually by the trustees taking account of employment market information and the needs of the Charity.
The Charity is recognised by HMRC for Gift Aid.
The trustees have complete control of the Charity in relation to the application of funds. Trustees are appointed in accordance with the Charity’s governing document.
All decision-making of the Center on Long-term Risk is made in accordance with the Charity’s Conflict of Interest policy.
1 In June 2023, Stefan Torges resigned from his senior management team position at CLR and his employment was ended. He was later appointed as a trustee of the Charity.
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Center on Long-term Risk
Trustees’ report (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
Trustees
The trustees who served during the year were:
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Tobias Baumann (appointed on 1 December 2021)
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Max Marian Daniel (appointed on 13 September 2021)
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Linh Chi Nguyen (appointed on 18 January 2022)
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Stefan Torges (appointed on 2 July 2023)
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Jonas Emanuel Vollmer (appointed on 7 July 2021)
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Ruairi May Donnelly – Chair (appointed on 07 July 2021 and resigned on 3 July 2023)
Affiliations
The Charity was founded in order to assume the operations of an existing research project that was previously operated as part of the Effective Altruism Foundation (“EAF Switzerland”), a Swiss non-profit. These operations were transferred to the Charity in 2021-22.
EAF Switzerland still provides support to the Charity, including financial support, and receives donations to provide to CLR. EAF Switzerland’s affiliated non-profits in the USA and Germany, namely Effective Altruism Foundation, Inc. (‘EAF USA’) and Stiftung für Effektiven Altruismus (‘EAF Germany’), provide similar support. These three international non-profits have a website at ea-foundation.org/. CLR provides advice to these organisations, including making grant recommendations, but does not provide funding to them.
CLR has an affiliation with Polaris Ventures, a Swiss non-profit. Polaris provides funding to CLR, and CLR has advised on Polaris’s grantmaking in the past.
CLR is also loosely associated with the broader effective altruism movement, a community of individuals and organisations focussed on using evidence and reasoning to benefit others as much as possible.
OBJECTIVES AND ACTIVITIES
Policies and objectives
The principal objectives of the Charity are for the public benefit:
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To advance research, especially in the field of emerging technologies (such as artificial intelligence) and their risks and benefits, by activities such as:
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Conducting research
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Supporting individuals and organisations to carry out research via grant making and non-financial support
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Hosting events such as workshops and retreats
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Providing coaching, mentoring and scholarships to those interested in working in our research field
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Center on Long-term Risk
Trustees’ report (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
- To advance other purposes that are exclusively charitable under the law of England and Wales, as the trustees determine, by grant making.
The trustees confirm that they have compiled with the Charity Commission’s guidance on public benefit when planning the Charity’s activities for this year.
Programs
CLR aims to advance research that reduces the worst risks of astronomical suffering (“s-risks”) in the future. We currently believe that such scenarios most likely involve transformative AI systems, and so have a primary focus on research aimed at making the development and deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) systems safer.
Our primary research programs are:
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AI conflict: Most of our research efforts are focussed on better understanding on how we can prevent AI systems from engaging in catastrophic conflict.
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S-risk macrostrategy: Broader research aimed at better understanding how we can reduce suffering in the longterm future, for example identifying causes or considerations that we have overlooked so far.
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CLR’s team regularly consider the path to impact of our research and prioritise on the basis of the research’s eventual implementation. The bulk of our work focusses on identifying risks and possible interventions, and evaluating these interventions, with the goal of informing advocacy for the inclusion of relevant interventions in AI development.
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In addition to our staff directly conducting research, we work to advance research in this field by supporting and building the community of people engaged in the field. Our primary programs here are:
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Running an annual Summer Research Fellowship, engaging a cohort of interns to conduct research projects under the supervision of experienced mentors.
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Running events to facilitate learning about our research field, research progress, and exchange of knowledge.
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Providing mentoring, coaching and scholarships.
CLR also aims to make grants to support research efforts outside our organisation. Grants are evaluated by a committee of fund managers appointed by the board and including two board members; and are made in accordance with a grantmaking policy.
Risks and uncertainties
The trustees have considered the key risks and uncertainties to CLR’s ability to carry out its charitable purposes, including reputational and organisational risks, and are satisfied that systems, actions and/or procedures are in place in order to manage those risks.
Key risks and uncertainties, and their mitigations, include:
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Strategic uncertainty around the most promising research directions, given the complex path to impact of research into the safety of emerging technologies. This risk is managed via regular review of strategic plans by the trustees, strategy discussions among the team and input from external experts and collaborators.
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Risks to staff retention; managed via regular check-ins of staff satisfaction, and via notice periods and documentation of key operational processes.
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Risk of loss of funding, managed by monitoring the diversity of funding streams and maintaining substantial financial reserves.
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Trustees’ report (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
ACHIEVEMENTS AND PERFORMANCE
Detailed strategic report
The below sections provide an overview of CLR’s aims, activities and achievements in 2023, and plans for 2024. Further detail on these topics is available in our 2023 annual review post on the Effective Altruism Forum.
Achievements during the year
Research
CLR’s primary research focus relates to understanding how we can prevent AI systems from engaging in catastrophic conflict. In 2023, we have made research progress on:
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Commitment races and safe Pareto improvements
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Paths to implementing surrogate goals
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Conflict-prone dispositions
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Evaluations of large language models
CLR’s work was disseminated to target audiences in various ways, including:
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Publication in online forums of relevant research communities, for example:[2]
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Macé, Clifton, Kollin; Open-minded updatelessness
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Macé, DiGiovanni, Clifton; Making AIs less likely to be spiteful
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DiGiovanni, Responses to apparent rationalist confusions about game / decision theory
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Presentation at academic conferences and workshops, alongside publication to online preprint servers:
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Mukobi, Erlebach, Lauffer, Hammond, Chan and Clifton; Welfare Diplomacy: Benchmarking Language Model Cooperation
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DiGIovanni, Clifton, Macé: Safe Pareto Improvements for Expected Utility Maximizers in Program Games
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Internal research documents have been shared with relevant individual external researchers.
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Other research work has not yet been shared, but is used to inform future research, and/or will be published in future.
Community-building
In 2023, we undertook the following activities aimed at strengthening and supporting the community of people engaged or interested in s-risk research:
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In February-March 2023, we ran an s-risk Intro Fellowship with 24 participants. This is an online workshop series intended to help participants learn about CLR’s thinking on our research topics.
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In summer 2023, we ran a Summer Research Fellowship, where 10 Fellows joined our team as interns for two months, to carry out a research project supervised by an experienced mentor.
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We conducted coaching and advising calls with individuals, and invited several people to visit our offices to talk to our team.
2 Additional published work is linked on our website, and in our 2023 annual review post on the Effective Altruism Forum
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Center on Long-term Risk
Trustees’ report (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
Grantmaking
We operate the CLR Fund to support research in our priority areas. In 2023, the Fund made three such grants totalling £31,533. We also recommended a further four grants which were made by EAF Switzerland, totalling £63,900.
Illustrative grants included:
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A teaching buy-out to allow an academic to spend more time focussed on their research on the topic of Cooperative AI
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A travel grant to support an independent researcher to spend time in London collaborating with other researchers in the field.
Evaluation
We collect systematic feedback on community-building and operations projects through surveys and interviews. We collect feedback on our research by submitting articles to journals & conferences and by requesting feedback on drafts of documents from relevant external researchers.
Plans for 2024
Research
CLR’s research team plans the following major projects for 2024:
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Producing, and soliciting external input on, an “overseer's manual” for the overseers of advanced AI systems, with advice for preventing their systems from locking in catastrophic bargaining policies.
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Research into the systematic evaluation of Large Language Models (LLMs) for conflict-conducive properties. In 2024 we also plan to produce an empirical research agenda to guide CLR’s ongoing work in this area.
Beyond these two priority areas, we will continue to conduct more exploratory research.
Community-building
In late 2023, we hired a Community Manager to lead our community-building efforts. Our plans for 2024 include: Refreshing the strategy for our community-building activities
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Hosting our annual Summer Research Fellowship
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Hosting at least one s-risk Intro Fellowship
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Continuing our coaching meetings and calls with people interested in s-risk research
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Running talks and workshops at relevant conferences
Grantmaking
In 2024, we plan to continue evaluating grant opportunities through the CLR Fund, both to make grants ourselves, and to recommend grants to EAF Switzerland.
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Trustees’ report (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
FINANCIAL REVIEW
Result for the year
The results for the year are shown in the statement of the financial activities on page 12. A result for the comparative period, which covered the period 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022, is included at page 13. During the year, the Charity received donations and other income totalling of £3,043,328 (2022: £3,375,082). The cost of raising funds for the year totalled £11,338 (2022: £3,154) and expenditure on charitable activities of £1,996,398 (2022: £1,717,793). The result for the year ended 31 December 2023 was a surplus of £1,035,592 (2022: £1,654,134).
The balance of the unrestricted reserves as at 31 December 2023 was £2,561,682 (2022: £1,535,347) and restricted reserves £128,044 (2022: £118,787).
Funding
CLR is funded by grants from several charitable foundations in the UK and overseas, and by donations from individual donors.
CLR maintains one restricted fund, the CLR Fund, for the purpose of grantmaking. Donors may make unrestricted gifts to CLR, or gifts to the CLR Fund specifically.
Reserves policy
CLR’s policy is to always maintain:
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A minimum of at least 3 months’ operating expenses, at current budget rates, in its own bank accounts. This equates to a target of approximately £532,000 based on our 2024 budget.
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A minimum of 6 months’ operating expenses including receivables, committed funding and funds earmarked for CLR held with regranting partners. We also aim to increase this to 12 months over time. This equates to a target of between £1,410,000 and £2,820,000 based on our 2024 budget.
As of 31 December 2023, our bank balance (£2,070,934) less liabilities (£45,235) and restricted funds (£128,044) exceeded both targets.
Going concern
At the time of writing, the Charity has over 12 months of reserves based on the current planned rate of expenditure, including receivables and funds earmarked for CLR held with regranting partners, meeting the target set in the reserves policy. The trustees consider the state of CLR’s finances to be satisfactory, and consider it appropriate to prepare the financial statements on a going concern basis.
Trustees' responsibilities statement
The trustees are responsible for preparing the Trustees’ Report and the financial statements in accordance with applicable law and United Kingdom Accounting Standards including Financial Reporting Standard 102: The Financial Reporting Standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland (United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice).
The law applicable to charities in England and Wales requires the trustees to prepare financial statements for each financial period, which give a true and fair view of the state of affairs of the Charity and of the income and expenditure of the Charity for the period.
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Trustees’ report (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
In preparing these financial statements, the trustees are required to:
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select suitable accounting policies and then apply them consistently;
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observe the methods and principles in “accounting and Reporting by Charities; Statement of recommended practice applicable to charities preparing their accounts in accordance with Financial Reporting Standard 102;
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make judgements and accounting estimates that are reasonable and prudent;
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state whether applicable UK Accounting Standards have been followed, subject to any material departures disclosed and explained in the financial statements; and
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prepare the financial statements on the going concern basis unless it is inappropriate to presume that the Charity will continue in business.
The trustees are responsible for maintaining proper accounting records which disclose with reasonable accuracy at any time the financial position of the Charity and enable them to ensure that the financial statements comply with the Charities Act 2011, the Charity (Accounts and Reports) Regulations 2008 and the provisions of the trust deed/constitution. They are also responsible for safeguarding the assets of the Charity and hence for taking reasonable steps for the prevention and detection of fraud and other irregularities.
The trustees are responsible for the maintenance and integrity of the Charity and financial information included on the Charity’s website. Legislation in the United Kingdom governing the preparation and dissemination of accounts may differ from legislation in other jurisdictions.
This report was approved by the trustees and signed on their behalf by:
Max Marian Daniel Trustee Date: 2024 / 10 / 28
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Independent auditor’s report to the Trustees of Center on Long-term Risk
For the year ended 31 December 2023
Opinion
We have audited the financial statements of Center on Long term Risk for the year ended 31 December 2023, which comprise the Statement of financial activities, the Comparative statement of financial activities, the Statement of financial position, the Statement of cash flows and the related notes, including a summary of significant accounting policies. The financial reporting framework that has been applied in their preparation is applicable law and United Kingdom Accounting Standards, including Financial Reporting Standard 102 ‘The Financial Reporting Standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland' (United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice).
In our opinion the financial statements:
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give a true and fair view of the state of the Charity’s affairs as at 31 December 2023 and of its result for the year then ended;
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have been properly prepared in accordance with United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice; and
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have been prepared in accordance with the requirements of the Charities Act 2011.
Basis for opinion
We conducted our audit in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK) (ISAs (UK)) and applicable law. Our responsibilities under those standards are further described in the auditor's responsibilities for the audit of the financial statements section of our report. We are independent of the Charity in accordance with the ethical requirements that are relevant to our audit of the financial statements in the United Kingdom, including the Financial Reporting Council's Ethical Standard, and we have fulfilled our other ethical responsibilities in accordance with these requirements. We believe that the audit evidence we have obtained is sufficient and appropriate to provide a basis for our opinion.
Conclusions relating to going concern
In auditing the financial statements, we have concluded that the Trustees' use of the going concern basis of accounting in the preparation of the financial statements is appropriate.
Based on the work we have performed, we have not identified any material uncertainties relating to events or conditions that, individually or collectively, may cast significant doubt on the Charity 's ability to continue as a going concern for a period of at least twelve months from when the financial statements are authorised for issue.
Our responsibilities and the responsibilities of the Trustees with respect to going concern are described in the relevant sections of the report.
Other information
The Trustees are responsible for the other information. The other information comprises the information included in the Annual Report and Financial Statements, other than the financial statements and our auditor's report thereon. Our opinion on the financial statements does not cover the other information and, except to the extent otherwise explicitly stated in our report, we do not express any form of assurance conclusion thereon.
In connection with our audit of the financial statements, our responsibility is to read the other information and, in doing so, consider whether the other information is materially inconsistent with the financial statements or our knowledge obtained in the audit or otherwise appears to be materially misstated. If we identify such material inconsistencies or apparent material misstatements, we are required to determine whether there is a material misstatement in the financial statements or a material misstatement of the other information. If, based on the work we have performed, we conclude that there is a material misstatement of this other information, we are required to report that fact.
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Independent auditor’s report to the Trustees of Center on Long-term Risk
For the year ended 31 December 2023
Matters on which we are required to report by exception
We have nothing to report in respect of the following matters in relation to which the Charities Act 2011 requires us to report to you if, in our opinion:
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the information given in the trustees' annual report, is inconsistent in any material respect with the accounts; or
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sufficient accounting records have not been kept; or
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the accounts are not in agreement with the accounting records and returns; or
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we have not received all the information and explanations we require for our audit.
Responsibilities of Trustees
As explained more fully in the Trustees' responsibilities statement on page 7, the Trustees are responsible for the preparation of the financial statements and for being satisfied that they give a true and fair view, and for such internal control as the Trustees determine is necessary to enable the preparation of financial statements that are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error.
In preparing the financial statements, the Trustees are responsible for assessing the Charity's ability to continue as a going concern, disclosing, as applicable, matters related to going concern and using the going concern basis of accounting unless the Trustees either intend to liquidate the Charity or to cease operations, or have no realistic alternative but to do so.
Auditor's responsibilities for the audit of the financial statements
Our objectives are to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements as a whole are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error, and to issue an Auditor's report that includes our opinion. Reasonable assurance is a high level of assurance but is not a guarantee that an audit conducted in accordance with ISAs (UK) will always detect a material misstatement when it exists. Misstatements can arise from fraud or error and are considered material if, individually or in the aggregate, they could reasonably be expected to influence the economic decisions of users taken on the basis of these financial statements.
Irregularities, including fraud, are instances of non-compliance with laws and regulations. We design procedures in line with our responsibilities, outlined above, to detect material misstatements in respect of irregularities, including fraud. The extent to which our procedures are capable of detecting irregularities, including fraud is detailed below.
Our approach to identifying and assessing the risks of material misstatement in respect of irregularities, including fraud and non-compliance with laws and regulations, was as follows:
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the engagement director ensured that the engagement team collectively had the appropriate competence, capabilities and skills to identify or recognise non-compliance with applicable laws and regulations;
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We identified the laws and regulations applicable to the Charity through discussions with management and from out knowledge and experience of the Charity sector;
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We focused on specific laws and regulations which we considered may have a direct material effect on the accounts or the activities of the Charity. These included but were not limited to the Charities Act 2011, Accounting and Reporting by Charities; Statement of Recommended Practice applicable to charities preparing their accounts in accordance with the Financial Reporting Standard applicable to the United Kingdom and Republic of Ireland(FRS 102) (effective 1 January 2019); and
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We assessed the extent of compliance with the laws and regulations identified above through making enquiries with management and review of minutes of trustees’ meetings.
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Independent auditor’s report to the Trustees of Center on Long-term Risk
For the year ended 31 December 2023
We assessed the susceptibility of the Charity’s financial statements to material misstatement, including obtaining an understanding of how fraud might occur, by:
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making enquiries of management as to their knowledge of actual, suspected and alleged fraud; and
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considering the internal controls in place to mitigate risks of fraud and non-compliance with laws and regulations.
To address the risk of fraud through management bias and override of controls, we:
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performed analytical procedures to identify any unusual or unexpected relationships; and
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reviewed journal entries to identify unusual transactions.
In response to the risk of irregularities and non-compliance with laws and regulations, we designed procedures which included, but were not limited to:
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reading the minutes of meetings of those charged with governance; and
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enquiring of management as to actual and potential litigation and claims.
There are inherent limitations in our audit procedures described above. The more removed that laws and regulations are from financial transactions, the less likely it is that we would become aware of non-compliance. Auditing standards also limit the audit procedures required to identify non-compliance with laws and regulations to enquiry of the Trustees and other management and the inspection of regulatory and legal correspondence, if any.
Material misstatements that arise due to fraud can be harder to detect than those that arise from error as they may involve deliberate concealment or collusion.
A further description of our responsibilities for the audit of the financial statements is located on the Financial Reporting Council's website at: www.frc.org.uk/auditorsresponsibilities. This description forms part of our Auditor's report.
Use of our report
This report is made solely to the Charity’s trustees, as a body, in accordance with section 144 of the Charities Act 2011 and with regulations made under section 154 of that Act. Our audit work has been undertaken so that we might state to the Charity’s trustees those matters we are required to state to them in an auditor’s report and for no other purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the Charity and the Charity’s trustees as a body, for our audit work, for this report, or for the opinions we have formed.
Buzzacott LLP
Statutory Auditor 130 Wood Street London EC2V 6DL
Date:
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Center on Long-term Risk – Registered Charity number 1195079
Statement of financial activities
For the year ended 31 December 2023
| Note Income from: Donations 3 Other income 4 Total income Expenditure on: Raising funds 5 Charitable activities 6 Total expenditure 7 Net income and net movement in funds Reconciliation of funds: Total funds at 31 December 2022 Total funds at 31 December 2023 14 |
Unrestricted funds 2023 £ 2,991,074 11,464 3,002,538 11,338 1,964,865 1,976,203 1,026,335 1,535,347 2,561,682 |
Restricted funds 2023 £ 40,790 - 40,790 - 31,533 31,533 9,257 118,787 128,044 |
Total funds 2023 £ 3,031,864 11,464 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3,043,328 | |||
| 11,338 1,996,398 |
|||
| 2,007,736 | |||
| 1,035,592 | |||
| 1,654,134 2,689,726 |
All recognised gains and losses are included in the above statement of financial activities.
The notes on page 16 to 27 form part these financial statements.
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Center on Long-term risk Ltd – Registered company number: 08032149
Comparative statement of financial activities
For the period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022
| Note Income from: Donations 3 Other income 4 Total income Expenditure on: Raising funds 5 Charitable activities 6 Total expenditure 7 Net income and net movement in funds Reconciliation of funds: Total funds at 31 December 2021 Total funds at 31 December 2022 14 |
Unrestricted funds 2022 £ 3,256,238 56 3,256,294 3,154 1,717,793 1,720,947 1,535,347 - 1,535,347 |
Restricted funds 2022 £ 118,787 - 118,787 - - - 118,787 - 118,787 |
Total funds 2022 £ 3,375,025 56 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3,375,081 | |||
| 3,154 1,717,793 |
|||
| 1,720,947 | |||
| 1,654,134 | |||
| - 1,654,134 |
All recognised gains and losses are included in the above statement of financial activities.
The notes on page 16 to 27 form part these financial statements
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Center on Long-term Risk – Registered Charity number 1195079
Statement of financial position
As at 31 December 2023
| Note Fixed assets 11 Current assets Debtors 12 Cash at bank and in hand Creditors: amounts falling due within one year 13 Net current assets Total assets less current liabilities Charity funds Unrestricted funds 14 Restricted funds 14 Total funds |
2023 £ 376,416 2,070,934 2,447,350 (45,235) 2,402,115 |
2023 £ 287,611 2,402,115 2,689,726 2,561,682 128,044 2,689,726 |
2022 £ 277,973 914,356 1,192,329 (107,829) 1,084,500 |
2022 £ 569,634 1,084,500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,654,134 | ||||
| 1,535,347 118,787 1,654,134 |
The financial statements were approved by the trustees on and signed on their behalf by: 2024 / 10 / 28
………………………....
Max Marian Daniel Trustee
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Statement of cash flows
As at 31 December 2023
| Cash flows from operating activities Net cash provided by operating activities A Cash flows from investing activities: Purchase of fixed assets Net cash provided by investing activities Change in cash and cash equivalent in the year/period Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year/period Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year/period Reconciliation of net income to net cash flow from Net income for the reporting year/period (as per the statement of financial activities) Assets received as donation Depreciation charges Loss on the sale of fixed assets Increase in debtors (Decrease)/ increase in creditors Net cash provided by operating activities Analysis of cash and cash equivalents Cash at bank and in hand Net cash provided by operating activities |
2023 2023 £ £ 1,166,095 (9,517) (9,517) 1,156,579 914,356 2,070,934 operating activities |
2022 £ (607,975) £ 2023 1,035,592 - 290,517 1,022 (98,443) (62,593) 1,166,095 £ 2,070,934 2,070,934 |
2022 £ 1,522,330 (607,975) 914,356 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - 914,356 £ 2022 1,654,134 (48,612) 44,941 42,012 (277,973) 107,828 1,522,330 £ 914,356 914,356 |
The notes on pages 16 to 27 form part of these financial statements.
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Center on Long-term Risk
Notes to the financial statements
For the year ended 31 December 2023
1. General information
Center on Long-term Risk (‘the Charity’) is a charitable incorporated organisation (CIO), not having share capital, and is incorporated in England and Wales. The Charity registration number is 1195079. Its registered office is in 3[rd] Floor, Block C, Imperial Works Perren Street, London NW5 3ED.
2. Accounting Policies
2.1 Basis of preparation of financial statements
The financial statements have been prepared under the historical cost convention. The financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice applicable to charities preparing their financial statements in accordance with the financial reporting standard applicable in the United Kingdom and Republic of Ireland (FRS 102) (Charities SORP (FRS 102)”, ‘The financial reporting standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland (‘FRS’ 102)’ and the Charities Act 2011.
The Charity continues as public benefit entity as defined by FRS 102.
The accounts are presented in sterling and are rounded to the nearest pound.
2.2 Critical accounting estimates and areas of judgement
The preparation of financial statements in compliance with FRS 102 requires the use of certain critical accounting estimates. It also requires management to exercise judgement in applying the Charity’s accounting policies.
The following principal accounting estimates and judgements have been applied:
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The estimate of the useful economic lives attributed to tangible fixed assets
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The estimate of the value ascribed to donated assets
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The method used for apportioning indirect costs across different expenditure headings
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The judgement made as to whether the accounts should be prepared on a going concern basis (see 2.3 below)
2.3 Assessment of going concern
The trustees have assessed whether the use of the going concern assumption is appropriate in preparing these accounts. The trustees have made this assessment in respect to a period of at least one year from the date of approval of these accounts.
The trustees of the Charity have concluded that there are no material uncertainties related to events or conditions that may cast significant doubt on the ability of the Charity to continue as a going concern. The trustees are of the opinion that the Charity will have sufficient resources to meet its liabilities as they fall due.
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
2.4 Fund accounting
Restricted funds are to be used for specific purposes as specified by the donor. Expenditure which meets their criteria is charged to the fund.
Unrestricted general funds are available for use at the discretion of the trustees in the furtherance of the general objectives of the Charity.
2.5 Income recognition
Income is recognised in the period in which the Charity is entitled to receipt, the amount can be measured reliably, and it is probable that income will be received. Grants and donations received for the general purposes of the Charity are included as unrestricted funds; grants and donations for activities restricted by the wishes of the donor are taken to restricted funds. Donated assets are initially recognised at an estimate of its carrying value at the time of transfer.
2.6 Expenditure
Liabilities are recognised as expenditure as soon as there is a legal or constructive obligation committing the Charity to make a payment to a third party or it is probable that a transfer of economic benefits will be required in settlement and the amount of the obligation can be measured reliably.
Expenditure is included in the accounts on an accruals basis and includes attributable VAT, which cannot be recovered.
Expenditure is allocated to the particular activity on a direct basis or by allocation based on the level of direct expenditure relating to that activity.
Expenditure comprises the following:
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a. The costs of charitable activities comprise expenditure related to the Charity ‘s primary charitable purposes. Such costs include:
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General overhead costs
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Related support costs
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b. The cost of raising funds comprises expenditure related to the Charity’ expenses in relation to raising funds for the Charity. Such costs include:
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Related support costs
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c. Support costs are the costs associated with the governance arrangements of the Charity and the general running of the Charity. Included within this category are costs associated with the strategic management of the Charity’s activities as opposed to day-to-day management. Support costs are allocated on the basis of time spent of these activities.
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
2.8 Tangible fixed assets
Capitalisation policy of the Charity is that items over £1,000 in individual value are capitalised. Depreciation is provided at the following annual rates in order to write off the cost less estimated residual value of each asset over its estimated useful life.
Building improvements - 25% on straight line Fixtures and fittings - 25% on straight line IT equipment - 25% on straight line
The Charity has given notice to give up the lease on its current office space at the end of 2024. For this reason, depreciation on building improvements and fixtures and fittings which will not be retained by the charity after giving up the lease, has been accelerated effective from 1[st] January 2023, on an accelerated straight-line basis to reach zero net book value at the end of 2024.
2.9 Debtors
Trade and other debtors are recognised at the settlement amount, less any provisions for non-recoverability. Prepayments are valued at the amount prepaid. They have been discounted to the present value of the future cash receipt where such discounting is material.
2.10 Cash at bank and in hand
Cash at bank and in hand represents such accounts and instruments that are available on demand or have a maturity of less than three months from the date of acquisitions.
2.11 Creditors and provisions
Creditors and provisions are recognised when there is an obligation at the balance sheet date as a result of a past event, it is probable that a transfer of economic benefit will be required in settlement, and the amount of the settlement can be estimated reliably. Creditors and provisions are recognised at the amount the Charity anticipates it will pay to settle the debt. They have been discounted to the present value of the future cash payment where such discounting is material.
2.12 Taxation
Center on Long-term risk is a registered Charity and therefore is not liable to income tax or corporation tax on come derived from its charitable activities, as it falls within the various exemptions available to registered charities.
3. Donations & legacies
| Donations Grants Gift Aid income |
Unrestricted fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ 8,904 2,979,963 2,207 2,991,074 |
Restricted fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ - 40,790 - 40,790 |
Total fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ 8,904 3,020,753 2,207 3,031,864 |
|---|---|---|---|
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
| Donations Grants Gift Aid income Grants from EAF group – Donation in Kind (Note 17) 4. Other income Other income Other income |
Unrestricted fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 18,774 3,184,160 4,693 48,611 3,256,238 Unrestricted fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ 11,464 11,464 Unrestricted fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 56 56 |
Restricted fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ - 118,787 - - 118,787 Restricted fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ - - Restricted fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ - - |
Total fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 18,774 3,302,947 4,693 48,611 3,375,025 Total fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ 11,464 11,464 Total fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 56 56 |
|---|---|---|---|
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
5. Raising funds
| Expenditure on charitable activities Grants (note 8) Other expenditure on charitable activities (note 7) Grants (note 8) Other expenditure on charitable activities (note 7) Allocated costs (note 7) Allocated cost (note 7) |
Unrestricted fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ 2,471 1,962,394 1,964,865 Unrestricted fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 4,878 1,712,915 1,717,793 Unrestricted fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ 11,338 11,338 Unrestricted fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 3,154 3,154 |
Restricted fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ 31,533 - 31,533 Restricted fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ - - Restricted fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ - - Restricted fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ - - |
Total fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ 34,004 1,962,394 Total fund Year to 31 December 2023 £ 11,338 11,338 Total fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 3,154 3,154 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,996,398 | |||
| Total fund Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 4,878 1,712,915 1,717,793 |
6. Expenditure on charitable activities
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
7. Analysis of total expenditure
| Staff Costs (Note 16) Grants (Note 8) Travel & Accommodation Staff Welfare expenses Contractors’ expenses Other professional services Insurance Rent & Maintenance expenses Immigration Bank fees Furnishings under £1000 Telephone, Printing & Stationery Software expenses IT equipment under £1000 Events Other operational expenses Depreciation Loss on disposal of assets Bank Revaluations Realised Currency Gains Governance cost Legal fees Audit fees Accounting fees Total expenditure |
Raising funds (note 5) Year to 31 December 2023 £ 6,826 - 4,512 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 11,338 - - - - 11,388 |
Charitable activities (note 6) Year to 31 December 2023 £ 930,593 34,004 55,784 49,798 31,108 6,120 6,438 441,025 18,338 6,927 7,441 12,977 55,289 2,333 4,315 4,805 290,517 1,022 1,265 (166) 1,959,933 18,781 10,400 7,284 36,465 1,996,398 |
Total Funds Year to 31 December 2023 £ 937,419 34,004 60,296 49,798 31,108 6,120 6,438 441,025 18,338 6,927 7,441 12,977 55,289 2,333 4,315 4,805 290,517 1,022 1,265 (166) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,971,271 | |||
| 18,781 10,400 7,284 |
|||
| 36,465 2,007,736 |
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
7. Analysis of total expenditure (continued)
| Staff Costs (Note 16) Grants (Note 8) Travel & Accommodation Staff Welfare expenses Contractors’ expenses Other professional services Insurance Rent & Maintenance expenses Immigration Bank fees Furnishings under £1000 Telephone, Printing & Stationery Software expenses IT equipment under £1000 Events Other operational expenses Depreciation Loss on disposal of assets Bank Revaluations Unrealised Currency Gains Realised Currency Gains Governance cost Legal fees Audit fees Accounting fees Total Expenditure |
Raising funds (note 5) Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 3,154 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3,154 - - - - 3,154 |
Charitable activities (note 6) Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 878,823 4,878 110,943 68,562 56,542 3,923 3,197 237,934 5,308 9,132 10,937 25,791 75,681 6,374 61,643 8,230 44,942 42,012 5,507 412 (153) 1,660,168 39,109 10,000 8,516 57,625 1,717,793 |
Total Funds Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 881,977 4,878 110,943 68,562 56,542 3,923 3,197 237,934 5,308 9,132 10,937 25,791 75,681 6,374 61,643 8,230 44,942 42,012 5,507 412 (153) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,663,322 | |||
| 39,109 10,000 8,516 |
|||
| 57,625 1,720,947 |
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
8. Grants
| Scholarships awarded to individuals Grants from the CLR Fund (see note 14) Scholarship awarded to Individual |
Unrestricted funds Year to 31 December 2023 £ 2,471 - 2,471 Unrestricted funds Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 4,878 4,878 |
Restricted funds Year to 31 December 2023 £ - 31,533 31,533 Restricted funds Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ - - |
Total funds 31 December 2023 £ 2,471 31,533 34,004 Total funds Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 4,878 4,878 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
9. Auditors’ remuneration
| Audit fee | Year to 31 December 2023 £ 10,800 10,800 |
Period from 7 July 2021 to 31 December 2022 £ 10,000 10,000 |
|---|---|---|
10. Trustees’ remuneration
No trustees received any emoluments for their services as trustees during the year. Reimbursement of expenses incurred by Trustees are disclosed in Note 17.
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
11. Fixed assets
| Cost At 1 January 2023 Additions Disposal At 31 December 2023 Depreciation At 1 January 2023 Depreciation charge for the year Impairment charge Disposals At 31 December 2023 Net book value At 31 December 2023 At 31 December 2022 |
Building improvements £ 559,847 1,900 - 561,747 25,193 140,015 139,717 - |
Fixtures and fittings £ 22,798 5,518 - 28,316 1,782 6,653 - - |
IT equipment £ 17,823 2,099 (1,450) 18,472 3,859 4,132 - (427) |
Total £ 600,468 9,517 (1,450) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608,535 | ||||
| 30,834 150,800 139717 (427) |
||||
| 304,925 256,822 534,654 |
8,435 19,881 21,016 |
7,564 10,908 13,964 |
320,924 | |
| 287,611 569,634 |
An impairment charge has been recognized in reflection of the decision taken to vacate the charity's current leasehold premises on 31 December 2024. No other significant costs are expected in relation to the decision to vacate the property.
12 . Debtors
| Other debtors Prepayments Creditors: Amounts falling due within one year Trade creditors Accruals Taxation and social security Other creditors |
2023 £ 266,263 110,153 376,416 2023 £ 10,450 9,913 21,014 3,858 **45,235 ** |
2022 £ 252,141 25,832 277,973 2022 £ 60,575 46,290 964 - 107,829 |
|---|---|---|
13. Creditors: Amounts falling due within one year
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
14. Analysis of Movement in Funds
| Balance as on 1 January 2023 Income Expenditure Balance as at 31 December 2023 |
Unrestricted fund 2023 £ 1,535,347 3,002,538 (1,976,203) 2,561,682 |
Restricted fund 2023 £ 118,787 40,790 (31,533) 128,044 |
Total fund 2023 £ 1,654,134 3,043,328 (2,007,736) 2,689,726 |
|---|---|---|---|
- The restricted fund relates to CLR Fund which is used to make grants to organisations and individuals working to advance CLR’s priorities, for example supporting independent researchers.
15. Analysis of assets between funds
| Tangible fixed assets Current assets Current liabilities Balance as at 31 December 2023 Tangible fixed assets Current assets Current liabilities Balance as at 31 December 2023 |
Unrestricted fund 2023 £ 287,611 2,319,306 (45,235) 2,561,682 Unrestricted fund 2022 £ 569,634 1,073,541 (107,829) 1,535,347 |
Restricted fund 2023 £ - 128,044 - 128,044 Restricted fund 2022 £ - 118,787 - 118,787 |
Total fund 2023 £ 287,611 2,447,350 (45,235) 2,689,726 Total fund 2022 £ 569,634 1,192,329 (107,829) 1,654,134 |
|---|---|---|---|
16. Analysis of staff costs
Salaries Employer’s national insurance Employer’s pension contributions Total staff costs |
Raising funds 2023 £ 5,693 666 467 6,826 |
Charitable activities 2023 £ 825,576 93,276 11,741 930,593 |
Total fund 2023 £ 831,269 93,942 12,208 937,419 |
|---|---|---|---|
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
Analysis of staff costs (continued)
| Salaries Employer’s national insurance Employer’s pension contributions Total staff costs |
Raising funds 2022 £ 2,735 285 134 3,154 |
Charitable activities 2022 £ 757,790 83,002 38,031 878,823 |
Total fund 2022 £ 760,525 83,287 38,165 881,977 |
|---|---|---|---|
The number of employees whose remuneration (including taxable benefits but excluding pension contributions and employer’s national insurance) was £60,000 or more during the year were as follows:
| £60,000 - £70,000 £70,000 - £80,000 £80,000 - £90,000 £90,001 - £100,000 |
2023 6 2 1 - 9 |
2022 1 - 1 1 3 |
|---|---|---|
The average number of staff during the year of report (on a pro-rata basis for part-time employees) was 12.7 (2022 - 9).
The key management personnel comprise of the trustees and the senior management team, who have the authority and responsibility for planning, directing and controlling the activities of the Charity, under the guidance of the trustees. Total salary given to key management personnel during the year (including taxable benefits, pension contributions and employer’s national insurance) was £264,068 (2022 - £296,844). Trustees are not remunerated for their services.
17. Related Parties
During the reporting year the following transactions occurred with related parties:
Unrestricted donations and grants totalling £1,631,234 (2022 - £2,731,439) were received from related parties during the reporting period.
The following amounts of trustees' expenses were covered in 2023:
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£24 (2022 - £115) of computing expenses relating to 1 trustee
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£7.99 (2022 - £67) of food expenses relating to 1 trustee.
No amounts were due to trustees at year end (2022 - £nil).
£2,813 of travel expenses and £2,231 of accommodation expenses were met in 2023 (2022 - no such reimbursement) for a volunteer who was also the romantic partner of a Lead Researcher. The expenses were met to enable the volunteer’s activities providing research mentorship to Fellows as part of the charity’s Summer Research Fellowship program.
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Notes to the financial statements (continued)
For the year ended 31 December 2023
Related parties (continued)
Donation in kind:
A research project previously operated by Effective Altruism Foundation (‘EAF Switzerland’) was taken over by Center on Long-term Risk, and the physical assets used by the former in relation to this project were also transferred to the Charity on 31 December 2021 as part of this arrangement.
The carrying values of the assets transferred were as follows:
| Building Improvements Furniture & non-IT equipment over £1000 IT equipment over £1000 Total |
2023 £ - - - - |
2022 £ 8,711 22,702 17,198 48,611 |
|---|---|---|
An equivalent amount has been recorded within income from donations, effectively reflecting the receipt of donated assets, and the above amounts have been taken to equal the deemed cost of the relevant assets for these accounts. There were no other related party transactions during the period of report (2022 – no other).
18. Commitments under operating lease
As at 31 December 2023, the Charity has future minimum lease payments due under non-cancellable operating leases for each of the following periods:
| Not later than 1 year Later than 1 year and not later than 5 years Total |
2023 £ 417,047 - 417,047 |
2022 £ 388,094 323,412 711,506 |
|---|---|---|
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